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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Trail Blazers54%99104
28Magic46%98110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
40.3
35.1
4
12%
3
12
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-8
4-9
13%
48%
0-8
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
38.6
36.6
19
71%
8
6
0
1
1
5
1
7
3-3
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
4-6
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
38.1
37.3
25
58%
6
5
0
1
1
0
0
6
1-1
100%
12-21
9-17
57%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
36.3
32.3
17
66%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
4-9
44%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.4
30.7
27.1
11
85%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-1
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
53%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.4
14.1
15.9
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.0
9.7
3.0
6
68%
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
3-4
0-1
75%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
9.3
11.6
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
2-3
67%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
8.3
11.0
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
7.7
11.0
6
104%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
7.0
9.0
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
8.0
0
1-1
40%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.6
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
38.0
31.3
10
28%
4
15
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
47%
2-9
22%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
31.8
32.8
14
51%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
4-11
4-9
36%
50%
1-1
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
30.8
35.7
17
66%
19
3
0
1
0
3
6
13
1-2
50%
8-12
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
30.2
37.2
4
40%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
22.4
24.5
14
65%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
4-4
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
31.6
6.8
16
52%
11
6
1
0
1
1
3
8
0-3
0%
8-14
1-1
57%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
28.5
14.7
22
79%
1
5
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
7-9
1-2
78%
50%
2-4
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
11.1
11.9
7
55%
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
1-3
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
9.9
26.4
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
5.5
6.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
0.1
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
14.8
0
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
7.3
0
1-1
46%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.