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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Timberwolves34%9188
13Grizzlies66%96105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
36.3
18.4
14
89%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
33.5
29.2
17
63%
4
4
1
1
0
4
3
1
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
2-6
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
30.1
32.6
8
52%
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-6
67%
2-5
6-12
40%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
28.4
33.2
17
59%
1
4
0
2
0
3
0
1
5-8
63%
6-10
3-7
60%
37%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
25.5
26.5
9
38%
6
1
2
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
30.9
23.0
10
51%
1
9
2
1
0
5
0
1
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
0-3
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
30.6
23.0
9
51%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
12.9
11.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
11.8
4.8
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
22.7
0
3-6
44%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
11.8
0
1-2
51%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.2
0
1-3
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
35.7
34.1
16
58%
3
8
1
2
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
35.2
32.6
9
47%
9
8
3
1
1
2
3
6
5-6
83%
2-7
5-11
29%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
31.4
35.1
16
50%
8
2
2
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
7-15
6-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.1
25.9
27.7
8
52%
5
3
4
2
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
23.4
31.3
18
101%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
7-7
4-9
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
24.6
12.9
16
81%
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
41%
2-4
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
18.5
27.0
7
50%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
17.1
18.5
4
33%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
11.1
9.8
4
67%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
10.6
4.9
7
61%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
4.1
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.8
1.1
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.7
1.1
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.