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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets70%109111
25Kings30%101117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
39.9
35.6
30
60%
6
4
1
2
0
4
3
3
8-11
73%
8-13
5-10
62%
53%
2-7
29%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
34.7
27.5
18
56%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
34.3
31.0
17
90%
12
0
0
1
3
3
6
6
1-1
100%
8-9
4-8
89%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
29.2
28.7
12
71%
2
6
1
2
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
27.2
35.0
5
19%
2
6
3
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
0-6
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
29.2
13.9
15
54%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
3-9
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
18.8
10.5
6
50%
5
8
0
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
13.4
8.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
13.3
14.6
8
80%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
2-4
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
12.4
0
1-2
47%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
10.3
0
1-2
45%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
3.0
0
0-1
53%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
36.4
23.7
23
67%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
7-7
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
4-7
57%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
33.3
31.6
23
73%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
13-13
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
2-3
67%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
32.8
31.8
12
60%
7
1
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
23.9
27.6
20
65%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
9-14
5-11
64%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
23.0
31.4
6
43%
4
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
24.1
16.9
8
69%
12
3
1
1
0
0
3
9
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
18.9
23.1
3
38%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
48%
1-4
25%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
17.8
16.8
11
79%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
15.0
14.1
6
27%
7
0
1
0
0
2
6
1
0-0
-
3-11
2-4
27%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
8.0
14.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
6.7
4.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
4.5
0
1-1
41%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
3.9
0
1-1
46%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.