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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers69%98107
2876ers31%9190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.9
27.9
21.3
11
74%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
2-5
40%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
27.8
28.3
20
63%
9
5
1
1
0
4
3
6
2-4
50%
9-14
6-11
64%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
24.6
21.4
21
88%
2
11
5
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
8-8
3-6
100%
51%
1-3
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
24.3
23.4
8
52%
10
0
1
1
0
1
3
7
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
60%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
19.4
9.9
6
38%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
25.7
27.9
20
88%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-3
33%
5-6
4-9
83%
45%
3-4
75%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
23.4
27.2
10
57%
0
5
0
2
1
3
0
0
2-4
50%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
2-2
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.4
22.9
13.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
20.2
12.7
4
41%
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
19.0
22.9
4
67%
8
4
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
4.8
6.2
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
20.0
1
2-4
45%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
20.0
1
1-3
42%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
34.1
26.7
29
70%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
6-11
3-6
55%
45%
4-7
57%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
32.4
34.1
10
34%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-13
4-10
31%
45%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
29.2
38.4
10
36%
3
9
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-10
7-15
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
28.9
33.7
4
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
28.8
35.7
5
32%
10
3
0
0
0
4
4
6
1-2
50%
2-7
5-11
29%
48%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
26.2
12.6
8
80%
6
0
2
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.9
23.7
27.2
10
36%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-4
25%
3-9
3-8
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
14.8
17.9
5
83%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
12.0
7.6
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
9.9
4.1
2
35%
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
3.6
0
0-1
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.