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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics68%10091
30Bobcats32%9394
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
35.4
30.5
8
36%
0
3
3
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
31.6
24.6
8
51%
7
1
1
1
1
0
1
6
0-2
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
29.4
35.7
13
47%
8
8
1
1
1
3
1
7
4-4
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
28.8
30.6
16
48%
13
3
0
1
2
1
3
10
6-8
75%
5-13
6-12
38%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
19.1
21.7
4
33%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
29.0
28.1
12
71%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
24.3
28.4
18
81%
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
7-7
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
17.2
9.3
8
82%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
12.8
4.1
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
12.4
17.3
3
25%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.0
11.2
1
2-4
51%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
2.3
0
0-1
52%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
42.7
31.9
25
70%
18
4
0
1
0
3
5
13
1-4
25%
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
4-5
80%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.8
36.1
28.5
18
51%
6
6
3
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
36.0
25.3
4
40%
8
1
0
0
4
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
34.7
32.3
16
47%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-5
60%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
1-2
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
15.0
19.7
5
47%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
30.8
29.9
19
65%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
5-9
5-10
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
13.7
23.0
3
25%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
13.7
15.3
2
35%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
12.0
15.6
0
0%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
5.3
9.7
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
5.9
0
1-1
51%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.6
4.4
0
1-1
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
2.4
0
0-0
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.