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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets37%97105
19Pistons63%10186
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
37.7
28.2
23
76%
10
0
1
1
2
1
4
6
5-5
100%
9-13
5-9
69%
53%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
36.2
32.3
9
43%
4
13
2
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
34.1
19.6
7
50%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
40%
1-2
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
27.9
24.2
12
68%
14
4
2
1
2
2
3
11
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
17.3
21.8
1
6%
8
1
1
1
4
1
0
8
1-2
50%
0-6
4-8
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
30.7
29.9
31
74%
4
1
0
1
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
8-12
3-6
67%
48%
5-9
56%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
21.7
12.4
14
74%
5
1
0
0
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
3-4
75%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
12.9
13.4
3
38%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
11.2
4.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
10.3
13.6
5
56%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
27.7
1
4-8
47%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
6.3
0
1-2
42%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
5.3
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
38.5
34.2
17
47%
11
4
2
1
2
2
5
6
1-7
14%
8-15
7-13
53%
53%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
33.9
30.1
13
65%
4
9
4
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.8
28.7
30.3
14
57%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
5-5
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
1-2
50%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.2
25.3
28.4
7
35%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
24.0
24.7
5
32%
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.8
30.5
25.5
19
54%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
11-13
85%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-3
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.1
22.4
22.1
2
11%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
4-8
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.5
20.4
23.3
5
32%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
8.4
7.5
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.4
7.9
3.3
0
0%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.5
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.3
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.5
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.