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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks43%97105
12Mavericks57%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
39.5
37.8
26
78%
13
6
1
1
0
5
2
11
2-4
50%
6-10
6-13
60%
48%
4-5
80%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
36.6
36.0
20
59%
4
9
1
2
0
3
0
4
6-7
86%
7-11
4-9
64%
49%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
34.8
34.3
21
71%
10
2
3
1
2
1
1
9
1-2
50%
10-14
7-12
71%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
31.8
15.5
15
63%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
3-8
38%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
24.4
15.0
1
10%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
30.4
37.1
10
73%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
16.2
16.9
8
46%
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
2-4
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
15.9
19.4
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
5.8
11.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
4.5
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
7.2
0
0-1
39%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
38.2
35.0
19
48%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
8-17
4-9
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
35.8
26.5
24
72%
7
2
2
0
1
0
1
6
5-6
83%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
33.3
29.5
14
47%
5
10
1
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
29.4
29.0
10
44%
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
3-3
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
51%
1-1
100%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
7.3
15.3
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
23.4
21.3
13
60%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
46%
4-5
80%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
20.6
24.7
6
51%
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
19.9
9.4
11
85%
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
58%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
14.8
12.9
0
0%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
12.3
15.0
4
40%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
4.7
4.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
0.5
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
5.3
0
1-1
44%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.