| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | 77% | 104 | 117 | |
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 119.5 | 87 | 90.8 |
| MIA | 134.5 | 87 | 83.5 |
Scoring Opportunities
POR
73
+10
-14
83
MIA
78
+11
-9
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
POR
1.25 62.7%
MIA
1.30 65.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | POR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 104 0% | 117 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 104 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | POR | MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot | 104 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | POR | Freeland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 104 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 104 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | POR | Trail Blazers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 104 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS) | 104 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS) | 104 0.1% | 116 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 104 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 104 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | POR | Freeland 5' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 104 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 102 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 102 0.2% | 113 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | POR | MISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 0.2% | 113 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:38 | MIA | James 1' Dunk (30 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 102 0.4% | 113 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | POR | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 102 0.5% | 111 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:45 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 102 1.0% | 111 99.0% |
| Q4 - 2:46 | POR | MISS Matthews 1' Driving Layup | 102 0.6% | 111 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 102 1.3% | 111 98.7% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 102 2.8% | 108 97.2% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | POR | James BLOCK (2 BLK) | 102 3.3% | 108 96.7% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 102 4.8% | 108 95.2% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 102 5.2% | 107 94.8% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | POR | Allen STEAL (2 STL) | 102 6.5% | 106 93.5% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 102 12.5% | 106 87.5% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 102 22.2% | 103 77.8% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 24.5% | 103 75.5% |
| Q4 - 4:10 | MIA | Wade 5' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 102 30.4% | 103 69.6% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | POR | Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST) | 102 38.2% | 101 61.8% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | MIA | James 1' Driving Dunk (28 PTS) | 99 22.7% | 101 77.3% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS) | 99 29.0% | 99 71.0% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 98 27.8% | 99 72.2% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 97 23.1% | 99 76.9% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 97 29.1% | 97 70.9% |
| Q4 - 5:49 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 97 31.5% | 97 68.5% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 97 37.3% | 97 62.7% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | POR | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 97 31.5% | 97 68.5% |
| Q4 - 6:15 | MIA | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 97 35.5% | 97 64.5% |
| Q4 - 6:39 | POR | Aldridge 1' Driving Layup (27 PTS) | 97 42.1% | 95 57.9% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (18 PTS) | 95 35.6% | 95 64.4% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 95 39.8% | 93 60.2% |
| Q4 - 7:02 | MIA | MISS Allen 1' Driving Layup | 95 44.9% | 93 55.1% |
| Q4 - 7:14 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 95 39.9% | 93 60.1% |
| Q4 - 7:15 | POR | MISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot | 95 42.1% | 93 57.9% |
| Q4 - 7:36 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 95 47.4% | 93 52.6% |
| Q4 - 7:37 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 95 46.4% | 93 53.6% |
| Q4 - 7:37 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 95 42.0% | 93 58.0% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 95 46.8% | 92 53.2% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | POR | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 95 49.2% | 92 50.8% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 95 54.5% | 92 45.5% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | POR | Matthews Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS) | 95 58.0% | 90 42.0% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 92 45.2% | 90 54.8% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS) | 92 39.0% | 90 61.0% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS) | 91 38.2% | 90 61.8% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIA | Cole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 90 33.1% | 90 66.9% |
| Q4 - 9:13 | POR | Lillard 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS) | 90 27.5% | 90 72.5% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | MIA | Allen 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 88 22.9% | 90 77.1% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 88 27.5% | 88 72.5% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Allen 5' Running Hook Shot | 88 30.9% | 88 69.1% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | POR | Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 88 27.5% | 88 72.5% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | POR | MISS Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 25.9% | 88 74.1% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | POR | Babbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 87 27.0% | 88 73.0% |
| Q4 - 10:11 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 25.6% | 88 74.4% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS) | 87 22.7% | 88 77.3% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 86 22.2% | 88 77.8% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | POR | Jeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 85 19.0% | 88 81.0% |
| Q4 - 10:39 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 85 18.0% | 88 82.0% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 85 15.8% | 88 84.2% |
| Q4 - 10:46 | POR | MISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 16.7% | 88 83.3% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 85 19.3% | 88 80.7% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 85 20.0% | 87 80.0% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 85 22.9% | 86 77.1% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 85 26.3% | 86 73.7% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 85 23.7% | 86 76.3% |
| Q4 - 11:28 | POR | Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lillard 2 AST) | 85 22.9% | 86 77.1% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | MIA | Lewis Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 82 16.2% | 86 83.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 82 13.5% | 86 86.5% | |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | POR | Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 82 13.8% | 86 86.2% |
| Q3 - 0:10.0 | POR | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 79 9.5% | 86 90.5% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 9.0% | 86 91.0% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | POR | Lillard 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 79 8.0% | 86 92.0% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | James 1' Driving Reverse Layup (25 PTS) | 77 6.5% | 86 93.5% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | POR | Lillard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12) | 77 8.3% | 84 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | POR | Jeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 77 9.8% | 84 90.2% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Anthony 8' Turnaround Hook Shot | 77 9.3% | 84 90.7% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | POR | Lillard 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 77 8.2% | 84 91.8% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | MIA | Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 75 7.2% | 84 92.8% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST) | 75 10.1% | 81 89.9% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 73 8.5% | 81 91.5% |
| Q3 - 2:48 | MIA | MISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 8.1% | 81 91.9% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | POR | Batum 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST) | 73 7.4% | 81 92.6% |
| Q3 - 3:28 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 71 6.3% | 81 93.7% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | MIA | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 6.0% | 81 94.0% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 71 5.3% | 81 94.7% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | POR | MISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 5.6% | 81 94.4% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 71 6.3% | 81 93.7% |
| Q3 - 3:57 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 6.0% | 81 94.0% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 71 5.4% | 81 94.6% |
| Q3 - 4:09 | POR | MISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 5.8% | 81 94.2% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 71 6.6% | 81 93.4% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | POR | Lillard 1' Layup (20 PTS) | 71 5.4% | 81 94.6% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 4.7% | 81 95.3% |
| Q3 - 4:46 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 4.5% | 81 95.5% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | POR | Matthews 2' Layup (14 PTS) | 69 4.1% | 81 95.9% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 67 3.6% | 81 96.4% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | POR | MISS Aldridge 12' Jump Shot | 67 3.2% | 81 96.8% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | MIA | Bosh 1' Alley Oop Layup (26 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 67 3.6% | 81 96.4% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 4.1% | 79 95.9% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | POR | MISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 4.3% | 79 95.7% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 67 5.2% | 79 94.8% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | POR | Aldridge 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Jeffries 1 AST) | 67 5.9% | 77 94.1% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 65 5.2% | 77 94.8% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 65 7.1% | 74 92.9% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 7.4% | 74 92.6% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 65 8.2% | 74 91.8% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 65 10.8% | 71 89.2% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | MIA | MISS Wade 6' Jump Shot | 65 12.0% | 71 88.0% |
| Q3 - 7:50 | POR | James STEAL (3 STL) | 65 10.8% | 71 89.2% |
| Q3 - 8:11 | MIA | Bosh Tip Shot (22 PTS) | 65 12.6% | 71 87.4% |
| Q3 - 8:12 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 65 14.1% | 69 85.9% |
| Q3 - 8:13 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Tip Shot | 65 15.6% | 69 84.4% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 65 14.1% | 69 85.9% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Driving Layup | 65 15.6% | 69 84.4% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | POR | Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 65 14.1% | 69 85.9% |
| Q3 - 8:58 | MIA | James 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 63 12.6% | 69 87.4% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | POR | Batum Traveling Turnover (P3.T10) | 63 16.0% | 66 84.0% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | MIA | James 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 63 18.2% | 66 81.8% |
| Q3 - 9:50 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 63 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot | 63 22.1% | 64 77.9% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | POR | Matthews 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 63 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 61 17.8% | 64 82.2% |
| Q3 - 10:36 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 61 19.8% | 62 80.2% |
| Q3 - 10:37 | POR | MISS Lillard 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 20.5% | 62 79.5% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 61 22.3% | 62 77.7% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 61 22.8% | 61 77.2% |
| Q3 - 11:05 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 61 24.2% | 60 75.8% |
| Q3 - 11:06 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 25.0% | 60 75.0% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 61 27.0% | 60 73.0% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 61 27.4% | 59 72.6% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | POR | Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 61 29.6% | 58 70.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 59 27.0% | 58 73.0% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | POR | Matthews Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9) | 59 24.2% | 58 75.8% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 59 26.2% | 58 73.8% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 59 26.8% | 57 73.2% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 59 29.6% | 56 70.4% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | MIA | MISS James 10' Running Jump Shot | 59 31.0% | 56 69.0% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | POR | Matthews Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 59 29.6% | 56 70.4% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | MIA | James 1' Running Dunk (16 PTS) | 59 31.7% | 56 68.3% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | POR | James STEAL (2 STL) | 59 35.4% | 54 64.6% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | Anthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 59 37.0% | 54 63.0% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 59 35.1% | 54 64.9% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | POR | MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot | 59 35.7% | 54 64.3% |
| Q2 - 1:33 | MIA | James 1' Dunk (14 PTS) | 59 37.0% | 54 63.0% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 59 41.2% | 52 58.8% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | POR | MISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot | 59 41.8% | 52 58.2% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 59 42.5% | 52 57.5% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 59 45.6% | 50 54.4% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 58 45.2% | 50 54.8% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | MIA | James 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 57 42.6% | 50 57.4% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MIA | Allen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 57 45.7% | 48 54.3% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | POR | Aldridge Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 57 47.0% | 47 53.0% |
| Q2 - 3:20 | POR | Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 50.5% | 47 49.5% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot | 57 49.4% | 47 50.6% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 47.0% | 47 53.0% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 48.1% | 47 51.9% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 57 50.6% | 47 49.4% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 51.3% | 45 48.7% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | POR | MISS Aldridge 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 57 52.3% | 45 47.7% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 57 54.6% | 45 45.4% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 57 55.2% | 44 44.8% |
| Q2 - 4:48 | POR | Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST) | 57 57.3% | 43 42.7% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 54 51.8% | 43 48.2% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | MIA | MISS Wade 8' Jump Shot | 54 49.6% | 43 50.4% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 54 47.7% | 43 52.3% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | POR | Babbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 51 42.1% | 43 57.9% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 51 41.2% | 43 58.8% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | POR | Jeffries 5' Jump Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 51 39.3% | 43 60.7% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 49 36.1% | 43 63.9% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | POR | Matthews 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) | 49 38.2% | 41 61.8% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | MIA | Bosh 1' Running Dunk (12 PTS) | 47 36.2% | 41 63.8% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | POR | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 47 38.3% | 39 61.7% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 47 40.1% | 39 59.9% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 47 40.6% | 38 59.4% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 42.4% | 37 57.6% |
| Q2 - 7:07 | MIA | MISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot | 47 44.4% | 37 55.6% |
| Q2 - 7:31 | POR | Lillard Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 47 42.4% | 37 57.6% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | POR | Babbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 40.2% | 37 59.8% |
| Q2 - 7:39 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 45 39.3% | 37 60.7% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 45 37.3% | 37 62.7% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | POR | MISS Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 44 37.0% | 37 63.0% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T4) | 44 36.7% | 37 63.3% |
| Q2 - 8:22 | POR | Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Price 2 AST) | 44 34.2% | 37 65.8% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | MIA | Bosh 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 41 29.8% | 37 70.2% |
| Q2 - 8:44 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 41 31.9% | 35 68.1% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 41 33.6% | 35 66.4% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | POR | Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 41 31.0% | 35 69.0% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | POR | Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 40 30.3% | 35 69.7% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 39 29.0% | 35 71.0% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | POR | Battier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 39 27.5% | 35 72.5% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3) | 39 29.1% | 35 70.9% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | POR | Allen STEAL (1 STL) | 39 26.9% | 35 73.1% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | POR | Price REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 29.1% | 35 70.9% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 39 28.4% | 35 71.6% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | POR | Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Batum 4 AST) | 39 26.9% | 35 73.1% |
| Q2 - 10:06 | MIA | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 37 25.2% | 35 74.8% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 28.7% | 32 71.3% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | POR | MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot | 37 29.4% | 32 70.6% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | MIA | Battier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 37 31.1% | 32 68.9% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Price 1 AST) | 37 35.1% | 29 64.9% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 35 33.3% | 29 66.7% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | MIA | MISS Allen 15' Jump Shot | 35 32.5% | 29 67.5% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | POR | Aldridge 1' Layup (13 PTS) | 35 30.7% | 29 69.3% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 33 28.7% | 29 71.3% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 27.3% | 29 72.7% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | POR | Price REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 33 28.7% | 29 71.3% |
| Q2 - 11:37 | POR | MISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 27.3% | 29 72.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | POR | 33 28.8% | 29 71.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 33 28.8% | 29 71.2% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | POR | MISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 27.1% | 29 72.9% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 28.1% | 29 71.9% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot | 33 27.6% | 29 72.4% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 33 26.7% | 29 73.3% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 22.7% | 29 77.3% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 30 22.3% | 29 77.7% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | POR | Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 30 21.4% | 29 78.6% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | POR | Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 19.5% | 29 80.5% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Battier 6' Floating Jump Shot | 28 19.1% | 29 80.9% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | POR | Aldridge 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 2 AST) | 28 18.4% | 29 81.6% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 26 16.7% | 29 83.3% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | POR | Andersen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 26 16.1% | 29 83.9% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 16.8% | 29 83.2% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 16.5% | 29 83.5% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | POR | Aldridge 11' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 26 15.7% | 29 84.3% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | MIA | Allen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 24 14.4% | 29 85.6% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | POR | Jeffries 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 24 15.4% | 27 84.6% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | POR | Jeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 14.3% | 27 85.7% |
| Q1 - 3:04 | POR | MISS Jeffries 2' Driving Layup | 22 13.5% | 27 86.5% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 22 14.3% | 27 85.7% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 22 14.6% | 26 85.4% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | POR | Lillard 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 22 15.4% | 25 84.6% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 20 14.3% | 25 85.7% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | POR | Matthews 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 20 15.4% | 23 84.6% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 18 14.2% | 23 85.8% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 18 13.8% | 23 86.2% |
| Q1 - 4:16 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 18 13.1% | 23 86.9% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | POR | MISS Aldridge 17' Turnaround Jump Shot | 18 13.4% | 23 86.6% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 14.2% | 23 85.8% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 14.4% | 22 85.6% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 18 14.1% | 22 85.9% |
| Q1 - 4:41 | POR | Lillard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 17 14.0% | 22 86.0% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 16 13.1% | 22 86.9% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 16 13.3% | 21 86.7% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | POR | Hickson 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST) | 16 14.3% | 20 85.7% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 14 13.3% | 20 86.7% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 14 14.2% | 18 85.8% |
| Q1 - 5:49 | POR | MISS Batum 21' Jump Shot | 14 14.6% | 18 85.4% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 14 15.4% | 18 84.6% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | POR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 14 14.6% | 18 85.4% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | MIA | Wade 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 14 15.3% | 18 84.7% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | POR | Lillard 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 14 16.3% | 16 83.7% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 11 14.3% | 16 85.7% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | POR | Lillard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 11 15.0% | 14 85.0% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 13.3% | 14 86.7% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot | 8 13.0% | 14 87.0% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | POR | Hickson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 8 12.3% | 14 87.7% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 5 10.8% | 14 89.2% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | POR | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 5 10.0% | 14 90.0% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 5 10.8% | 14 89.2% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 11.5% | 12 88.5% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | POR | MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot | 5 11.7% | 12 88.3% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 5 12.3% | 12 87.7% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | POR | Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 13.1% | 10 86.9% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | MIA | Wade 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 3 12.5% | 10 87.5% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | POR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 3 13.2% | 8 86.8% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 3 14.2% | 8 85.8% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | POR | Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lillard 1 AST) | 3 15.0% | 6 85.0% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | MIA | Bosh 1' Dunk (4 PTS) | 0 13.3% | 6 86.7% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 14.2% | 4 85.8% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | POR | MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 14.5% | 4 85.5% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | MIA | James Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 0 15.2% | 4 84.8% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | POR | James STEAL (1 STL) | 0 16.0% | 2 84.0% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 17.1% | 2 82.9% |
| Q1 - 11:15 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 0 15.9% | 2 84.1% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | POR | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 16.2% | 2 83.8% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 0 16.7% | 2 83.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Hickson: Tip to James | 0 17.8% | 0 82.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
POR
1.25 62.7%
MIA
1.30 65.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
15
22
68%
MIA
22
27
81%
Midrange
POR
16
27
59%
MIA
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
POR
18
20
90%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Trail Blazers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lillard | 33 | 72% | 16.5 / 23 | |
| L. Aldridge | 29 | 69% | 14.5 / 21 | |
| W. Matthews | 20 | 77% | 10.0 / 13 | |
| J. Jeffries | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| N. Batum | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| J. Hickson | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| L. Babbitt | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| J. Freeland | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| S. Pavlovic | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| R. Price | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| N. Smith | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 32 | 84% | 16.0 / 19 | |
| L. James | 30 | 79% | 15.0 / 19 | |
| D. Wade | 24 | 52% | 12.0 / 23 | |
| R. Allen | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| S. Battier | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| M. Chalmers | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| U. Haslem | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| J. Anthony | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
POR
73
+10
-14
83
MIA
78
+11
-9
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
POR
1.25 62.7%
MIA
1.30 65.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 105.9 112.1 | POR 119.5 MIA 134.5 +14.9 |
| Pace | 91.3 90.9 | POR 90.8 +7.4 MIA 83.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.9 16.0 | POR 15.9 +1.4 MIA 17.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.8% 55.2% | POR 58.9% MIA 63.5% +4.6% |
| TO % | 15.4% 14.5% | POR 15.5% MIA 9.5% +6.0% |
| ORB % | 25.3% 22.2% | POR 15.4% MIA 32.3% +16.9% |
| FTrt | 25.0 29.7 | POR 27.4 MIA 36.5 +9.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.3% 60.0% | POR 38.5% MIA 51.2% +12.7% |
| STL % | 7.1% 9.5% | POR 3.4% MIA 10.3% +6.9% |
| BLK % | 6.7% 9.1% | POR 3.6% MIA 14.3% +10.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.4% 57.0% | POR 62.7% MIA 65.0% +2.3% |
| Rim FG% | 57.5% 65.9% | POR 68.2% MIA 81.5% +13.3% |
| Mid FG% | 40.4% 41.9% | POR 59.3% +12.9% MIA 46.4% |
| 3P % | 35.3% 39.6% | POR 33.3% MIA 42.1% +8.8% |
| FT % | 77.6% 75.4% | POR 90.0% +4.8% MIA 85.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.2% 34.8% | POR 30.1% MIA 36.5% +6.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 37.4% 36.7% | POR 37.0% +0.9% MIA 37.8% |
| 3P Att. % | 28.4% 28.5% | POR 32.9% +7.2% MIA 25.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
| Game Totals | POR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.0 | 25.0 |
| Points | 104 | 117 |
| Rebounds | 25 | 32 |
| Assists | 15 | 22 |
| Steals | 3 | 9 |
| Blocks | 2 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (1) | 9 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 4 (6) | 10 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 21 (1) | 22 (2) |
| Field Goals | 39-73 | 43-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-22 | 22-27 |
| Midrange FG | 16-27 | 13-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-49 | 35-55 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-24 | 8-19 |
| Free Throws | 18-20 | 23-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.