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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets55%105116
17Warriors45%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
38.7
36.5
27
50%
7
5
3
2
0
5
1
6
11-11
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
51%
2-8
25%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
37.4
31.4
21
64%
8
9
1
1
1
2
2
6
0-3
0%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
3-6
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
33.4
31.8
13
70%
15
2
0
1
0
0
3
12
1-3
33%
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
29.6
29.9
12
67%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
4-9
86%
51%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
28.7
28.5
14
48%
2
10
0
2
0
0
1
1
8-8
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
23.4
20.1
10
63%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
21.7
14.1
12
55%
7
0
1
0
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
2-7
29%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
19.3
13.6
7
58%
3
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
8.0
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
7.9
0
1-1
44%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
7.3
0
1-2
43%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
2.2
0
0-1
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
39.2
32.0
22
47%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
3-5
60%
8-16
4-8
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
34.6
32.8
27
62%
5
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
8-14
5-10
57%
47%
2-5
40%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
34.6
30.0
12
44%
12
4
0
1
1
2
2
10
6-8
75%
3-10
6-12
30%
52%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
27.1
27.7
7
74%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
26.7
24.2
6
43%
12
4
0
1
1
2
4
8
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
32.1
12.0
22
70%
3
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
4-7
57%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.4
20.1
21.4
2
17%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
52%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
17.5
17.9
9
78%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.6
8.0
10.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.6
14.0
0
2-4
46%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
10.5
0
0-1
56%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
8.7
0
1-3
46%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
8.1
0
1-1
49%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.