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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks58%98108
25Magic42%9576
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
32.5
34.1
26
70%
12
5
2
1
0
1
6
6
4-6
67%
11-16
7-12
69%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
30.3
38.0
30
65%
10
5
0
1
2
0
0
10
2-7
29%
11-17
6-12
65%
49%
2-3
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
27.5
35.7
7
51%
0
11
1
2
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
4-9
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
25.4
18.9
7
44%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
1-6
17%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
25.4
23.1
4
26%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-6
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
24.0
17.5
9
90%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
3-5
60%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
23.4
33.2
7
51%
6
4
1
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
17.3
16.9
8
40%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
12.6
3.3
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
9.6
9.6
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
6.0
5.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
6.0
3.0
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
8.8
0
1-3
51%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
28.3
23.1
10
56%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
27.6
31.9
9
41%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
26.6
33.6
10
53%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
25.9
33.1
6
43%
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
6-12
43%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
21.2
33.6
4
29%
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
22.1
11.4
6
43%
8
1
2
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
21.4
19.7
9
46%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
1-2
50%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
19.1
6.5
6
30%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
3-6
1-1
50%
47%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
17.9
21.3
8
68%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
16.9
6.9
8
57%
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
40%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
6.5
9.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
6.4
16.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
6.0
0
0-1
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.