Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Hawks	57%	98	108	117.4	92	87.3
	25	Magic	43%	96	76	83.5	91	96.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	32.5	26	72%	12	5	2	0	1	1	6	6	4-6	67%	11-16	69%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	30.3	30	65%	10	5	0	2	0	0	0	10	2-7	29%	11-17	65%	2-3	67%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	27.5	7	50%	0	11	1	1	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	25.4	7	44%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	25.4	4	25%	3	5	1	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-6	0%

John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	24.0	9	90%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	23.4	7	50%	6	4	1	0	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 29	17.3	8	40%	6	1	0	0	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	12.6	2	20%	5	0	0	0	2	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	9.6	5	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	6.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 27	6.0	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	54	32	6	3	9	0	17	37	16-23	70%	31-58	53%	10-34	29%

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14 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	32.5	26	72%	12	5	2	0	1	1	6	6	4-6	67%	11-16	69%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	30.3	30	65%	10	5	0	2	0	0	0	10	2-7	29%	11-17	65%	2-3	67%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	27.5	7	50%	0	11	1	1	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	25.4	7	44%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	25.4	4	25%	3	5	1	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-6	0%

John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	24.0	9	90%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	23.4	7	50%	6	4	1	0	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 29	17.3	8	40%	6	1	0	0	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	12.6	2	20%	5	0	0	0	2	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	9.6	5	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	6.0	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 27	6.0	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	52%	54	32	6	3	9	0	17	37	16-23	70%	31-58	53%	10-34	29%

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25 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	28.3	10	56%	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	27.6	9	41%	3	1	1	0	3	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	26.6	10	56%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	25.9	6	43%	7	3	1	0	3	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	21.2	4	29%	4	1	2	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	22.1	6	43%	8	1	2	1	1	4	2	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	21.4	9	45%	2	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	19.1	6	30%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	17.9	8	67%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	16.9	8	57%	6	3	0	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	6.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	6.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	\| DND - Suspended by NBA
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glen Davis #11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	43%	41	18	7	2	15	0	7	34	5-9	56%	31-68	46%	3-14	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.04 51.9%

ORL

0.86 43.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

11

21

52%

ORL

14

25

56%

Midrange

ATL

20

37

54%

ORL

17

43

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10

15.0

34

29%

44%

ORL

3

4.5

14

21%

32%

Free Throws

ATL

16

23

70%

ORL

5

9

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	30	65%	15.0 / 23
A. Horford	26	72%	13.0 / 18
J. Jenkins	9	90%	4.5 / 5
Z. Pachulia	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Teague	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Tolliver	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Korver	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Stevenson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Harris	4	25%	2.0 / 8
A. Morrow	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Scott	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Petro	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nicholson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Nelson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Afflalo	9	41%	4.5 / 11
E. Moore	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Redick	8	67%	4.0 / 6
I. Smith	8	57%	4.0 / 7
N. Vučević	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. O'Quinn	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Jones	6	30%	3.0 / 10
M. Harkless	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. McRoberts	0	-	0.0 / 1
G. Ayon	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.6 26 102.0	ATL 117.4 +33.9 ORL 83.5
Pace	12 92.9 16 91.9	ATL 87.3 ORL 96.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 13 15.7	ATL 16.5 ORL 15.0 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.7% 20 48.5%	ATL 50.0% +6.7% ORL 43.3%
TO %	16 15.2% 13 15.2%	ATL 8.1% −6.8% ORL 14.9%
ORB %	26 22.2% 22 25.4%	ATL 33.3% +17.4% ORL 15.9%
FTrt	25 24.4 30 19.7	ATL 25.0 +14.0 ORL 11.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 65.1% 12 60.5%	ATL 78.0% +25.1% ORL 52.9%
STL %	12 8.7% 30 7.0%	ATL 6.5% ORL 7.7% +1.2%
BLK %	23 7.1% 24 7.0%	ATL 4.4% +1.0% ORL 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.2% 22 50.2%	ATL 51.9% +8.7% ORL 43.2%
Rim FG%	3 62.5% 12 58.5%	ATL 52.4% ORL 56.0% +3.6%
Mid FG%	21 38.3% 13 39.6%	ATL 54.1% +14.6% ORL 39.5%
3P %	7 37.1% 29 32.9%	ATL 29.4% +8.0% ORL 21.4%
FT %	26 71.5% 15 75.5%	ATL 69.6% +14.0% ORL 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.9% 19 35.4%	ATL 22.8% ORL 30.5% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	9 36.5% 20 42.3%	ATL 40.2% −12.2% ORL 52.4%
3P Att. %	4 28.6% 20 22.3%	ATL 37.0% +19.9% ORL 17.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	108	76
Rebounds	54	41
Assists	32	18
Steals	6	7
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	34 (2)
Field Goals	41-92	34-82
At-the-Rim FG	11-21	14-25
Midrange FG	20-37	17-43
2-Point FG	31-58	31-68
3-Point FG	10-34	3-14
Free Throws	16-23	5-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg