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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs
96
27Cavaliers
95
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.7
33.9
23.9
24
68%
6
7
0
1
0
3
1
5
8-8
100%
8-13
6-11
62%
54%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.6
32.9
32.3
13
60%
10
2
1
2
4
4
2
8
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
28.3
31.3
4
21%
3
1
4
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-5
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.1
26.7
30.0
6
44%
7
1
2
1
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
2-6
5-8
33%
60%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.8
25.4
21.5
13
41%
6
3
0
1
5
1
2
4
1-2
50%
6-15
5-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
25.1
21.3
15
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
19.0
28.7
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.8
18.3
9.9
12
81%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
6-7
2-3
86%
53%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.6
11.8
18.4
2
33%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
9.7
6.2
5
63%
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
8.9
20.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
5.1
0
0-1
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.2
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
33.9
25.0
16
74%
9
4
0
0
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
7-10
2-6
70%
43%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.9
31.7
33.3
6
19%
3
7
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-14
7-14
14%
48%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
31.5
22.9
20
60%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
8-14
3-8
57%
43%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.9
28.2
29.9
10
38%
7
1
0
1
2
3
4
3
0-0
-
5-13
5-10
38%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.7
22.1
27.2
7
60%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.9
21.0
17.8
10
45%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.4
20.4
17.4
8
50%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.9
17.9
14.5
4
69%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
17.5
22.5
5
39%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
15.8
19.6
9
35%
9
0
1
0
0
0
6
3
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.0
4.5
0
0-0
36%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.5
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.6
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.