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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Bulls51%9369
15Celtics49%9271
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
43.5
31.6
10
49%
16
2
1
1
2
5
2
14
4-5
80%
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.8
35.0
36.8
8
40%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
34.3
26.2
11
38%
11
0
0
1
0
3
3
8
1-1
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
49%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.7
29.1
35.5
6
38%
3
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
4-9
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.0
18.2
21.3
2
16%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-5
4-8
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.4
25.7
23.6
11
43%
6
0
1
1
1
4
4
2
3-4
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
19.4
19.4
12
61%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
18.9
5.2
5
36%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
15.8
27.1
4
67%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
0.1
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
2.7
0
0-0
42%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
40.1
26.6
14
50%
9
2
1
1
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
6-13
3-6
46%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
33.7
32.7
8
29%
6
6
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
0-7
4-8
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
27.7
20.4
7
50%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
26.1
29.3
12
50%
11
3
1
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
6-12
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
25.9
31.6
10
39%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
36.5
26.3
8
41%
5
2
0
1
2
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
25.8
27.6
12
55%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
13.1
7.1
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
11.1
11.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
15.2
1
2-4
47%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.