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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets48%97108
19Nets52%98119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.3
37.2
36.5
26
92%
2
9
2
1
0
5
0
2
5-7
71%
3-6
5-11
50%
49%
5-5
100%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
32.2
15.2
11
42%
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-11
2-4
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
32.0
23.3
12
55%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
31.2
28.9
7
39%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-8
5-8
38%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
20.9
18.6
9
57%
7
0
0
0
2
0
4
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
28.4
27.4
8
40%
1
10
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
26.7
13.8
14
64%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
4-9
44%
5-7
3-5
71%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
19.9
13.2
15
83%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.6
6.3
12.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
4.8
9.6
4
106%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.6
0.5
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
23.7
1
2-5
46%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
17.6
1
2-4
49%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
42.3
33.4
26
65%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.9
39.0
33.7
23
67%
8
0
0
1
0
3
3
5
5-5
100%
9-15
8-15
60%
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
35.5
14.3
25
85%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
5-7
71%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
31.7
32.7
8
51%
9
5
1
1
3
1
3
6
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.7
28.1
28.0
6
56%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
6-10
60%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
19.9
11.0
14
72%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
15.8
12.2
6
60%
3
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.8
12.9
15.5
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
2-4
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
9.0
12.3
5
73%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
5.7
9.7
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.3
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
2.0
0
0-0
52%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.