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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers30%9492
17Bucks70%10294
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
41.1
32.1
19
57%
9
2
0
1
1
1
2
7
5-6
83%
7-13
5-10
54%
48%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
40.6
32.9
20
48%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
8-17
5-10
47%
45%
0-2
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
39.3
33.9
16
43%
5
12
2
1
1
5
1
4
3-4
75%
5-15
7-14
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
32.8
29.6
14
90%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
26.5
30.8
7
44%
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
19.3
18.2
5
43%
8
0
1
1
0
0
4
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.9
17.8
24.5
2
33%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
11.3
10.0
3
75%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-2
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
6.5
16.2
4
69%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
4.9
7.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
46.1
38.0
27
51%
4
5
1
2
0
1
2
2
5-6
83%
11-21
6-12
52%
48%
0-3
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
42.4
36.5
21
47%
4
5
4
2
0
4
2
2
3-3
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
45%
2-8
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
39.0
19.5
10
37%
8
0
0
1
2
2
3
5
4-6
67%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
32.2
21.3
17
61%
14
2
0
0
3
3
7
7
1-2
50%
8-13
3-6
62%
53%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
18.5
32.1
7
50%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.4
33.7
25.9
11
70%
3
4
1
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
14.4
15.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
7.4
19.6
1
17%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
6.2
11.6
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
5.4
0
1-1
47%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
3.4
0
1-1
46%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
3.1
0
0-0
55%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
1.5
0
0-0
51%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.