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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Trail Blazers38%9763
18Hornets62%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
35.4
36.7
12
36%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
4-13
4-9
31%
47%
0-2
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
31.1
37.3
3
15%
4
6
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
29.7
36.7
6
25%
3
0
2
1
4
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-11
8-17
18%
50%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.4
22.0
22.0
10
85%
5
2
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
1.5
34.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
35.8
9.9
11
55%
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
25.9
8.4
9
36%
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-10
1-2
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
18.1
6.7
6
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.0
17.2
4.5
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.7
12.7
7.9
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
10.7
13.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.2
11.3
0
1-1
44%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
10.5
0
1-2
41%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
28.5
25.1
10
56%
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
27.6
20.0
21
59%
11
3
1
1
2
2
4
7
1-2
50%
10-17
4-7
59%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
27.4
24.2
8
58%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
26.3
32.9
10
51%
5
8
2
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-6
5-9
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
20.6
30.8
5
36%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-6
6-10
33%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
25.4
29.6
14
50%
7
2
2
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
51%
2-5
40%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
21.7
12.9
7
60%
4
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
20.7
15.4
6
43%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
19.4
6.7
3
38%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
17.0
12.3
13
55%
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
6-11
2-4
55%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
3.6
4.1
2
57%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
1.7
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
19.5
1
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.