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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz42%9697
24Timberwolves58%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.0
35.6
25.7
21
53%
8
2
0
1
2
2
4
4
7-11
64%
7-14
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.1
34.0
30.9
20
52%
11
1
3
1
1
1
1
10
2-3
67%
9-18
7-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.4
26.8
26.5
10
38%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
5-5
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
41%
1-5
20%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.7
15.8
23.0
0
0%
7
0
0
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.0
15.6
22.8
3
75%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.6
29.8
24.7
9
48%
6
7
2
1
0
3
2
4
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
24.6
24.0
11
58%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.7
23.8
17.4
6
38%
5
5
0
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.6
20.1
23.0
7
51%
6
1
0
1
2
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.7
13.9
15.2
10
56%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
51%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
7.9
0
1-2
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.3
3.0
0
0-1
55%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.9
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.2
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
40.3
31.1
18
48%
9
10
4
2
1
2
2
7
12-13
92%
3-10
3-7
30%
41%
0-3
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
39.7
33.6
19
49%
13
0
1
1
1
1
7
6
5-8
63%
7-16
6-12
44%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
37.3
32.1
18
57%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
51%
2-6
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
36.6
22.2
24
55%
16
0
0
1
1
1
4
12
8-11
73%
5-12
3-6
42%
48%
2-5
40%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
24.1
25.5
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
23.8
15.2
6
28%
1
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-5
20%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
19.8
27.4
6
44%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
10.5
26.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
8.0
10.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
0.0
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.0
0
1-3
49%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
8.7
0
1-2
54%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.