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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings24%97100
11Mavericks76%107123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
37.0
29.1
23
76%
2
1
3
1
0
5
1
1
7-7
100%
8-10
5-10
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
35.9
29.7
17
62%
9
2
0
1
1
2
3
6
5-6
83%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
29.3
29.9
12
45%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
28.5
29.6
17
66%
13
2
0
1
0
5
6
7
7-9
78%
5-8
6-12
63%
45%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
27.1
28.8
6
44%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
24.7
3.3
16
61%
6
4
0
0
0
4
1
5
4-5
80%
6-11
0-1
55%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
23.9
16.2
6
50%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
18.7
7.9
3
19%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-6
1-2
17%
42%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
5.7
3.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
4.7
3.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
4.5
18.5
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
14.8
0
2-5
45%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
11.8
0
1-2
48%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
30.4
30.3
17
79%
8
6
3
1
1
2
1
7
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
1-1
100%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
29.5
30.6
18
68%
4
9
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
52%
1-4
25%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
29.3
35.6
10
39%
2
1
3
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-4
5-9
75%
50%
0-7
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
28.3
28.8
9
50%
9
2
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
15.7
11.7
5
64%
6
0
0
0
3
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
22.9
22.0
26
82%
5
0
2
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
6-9
67%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
17.0
14.2
5
32%
7
0
0
0
2
0
4
3
3-4
75%
1-6
3-4
17%
61%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
16.1
13.8
11
79%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
15.3
22.4
4
40%
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
13.6
13.9
4
34%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
12.2
4.9
6
63%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
9.6
4.8
8
54%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.