Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Heat	46%	97	110	111.1	99	87.0
	4	Thunder	54%	99	100	105.3	95	110.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	40.0	39	70%	12	7	2	0	4	3	3	9	7-9	78%	10-16	63%	4-8	50%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	38.8	20	71%	12	2	2	3	1	2	5	7	0-0	-	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	31.0	13	46%	5	8	3	1	4	6	0	5	3-3	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	27.8	6	38%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	26.9	6	50%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	30.3	13	65%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	6-6	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	19.4	3	30%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	16.8	9	64%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	6.7	1	13%	4	0	0	0	0	4	2	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	46	23	10	4	14	0	13	33	17-22	77%	30-59	51%	11-29	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	40.0	39	70%	12	7	2	0	4	3	3	9	7-9	78%	10-16	63%	4-8	50%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	38.8	20	71%	12	2	2	3	1	2	5	7	0-0	-	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	31.0	13	46%	5	8	3	1	4	6	0	5	3-3	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	27.8	6	38%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	26.9	6	50%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	30.3	13	65%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	6-6	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	19.4	3	30%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	16.8	9	64%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	6.7	1	13%	4	0	0	0	0	4	2	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	46	23	10	4	14	0	13	33	17-22	77%	30-59	51%	11-29	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant F · 6'11" 240 · 24	47.5	40	67%	8	4	1	3	5	6	0	8	15-15	100%	11-19	58%	1-5	20%
Russell Westbrook G · 6'4" 200 · 24	43.8	26	52%	5	10	1	1	6	5	0	5	12-13	92%	7-18	39%	0-1	0%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 23	35.3	6	50%	6	0	0	0	2	3	2	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Thabo Sefolosha G · 6'7" 220 · 29	24.3	4	50%	4	2	2	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 28	23.6	8	57%	5	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 30	27.4	9	64%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson G · 6'3" 208 · 23	22.0	7	58%	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Nick Collison F · 6'10" 255 · 32	14.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Liggins G · 6'6" 209 · 25	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 21	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daniel Orton C · 6'10" 275 · 23	0.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hasheem Thabeet C · 7'3" 263 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eric Maynor G · 6'3" 175 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #11 · G · 6'5" 185 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	35	16	5	5	16	0	5	30	33-34	97%	29-60	48%	3-13	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	OKC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.12 56.1%

OKC

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

17

28

61%

OKC

15

25

60%

Midrange

MIA

13

31

42%

OKC

14

35

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

OKC

3

4.5

13

23%

35%

Free Throws

MIA

17

22

77%

OKC

33

34

97%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	39	70%	19.5 / 28
C. Bosh	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Wade	13	46%	6.5 / 14
R. Allen	13	65%	6.5 / 10
N. Cole	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Battier	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Lewis	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Andersen	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	40	67%	20.0 / 30
R. Westbrook	26	52%	13.0 / 25
K. Martin	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Perkins	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Jackson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Ibaka	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Sefolosha	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Collison	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Orton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 112.1 2 111.9	MIA 111.1 +5.8 OKC 105.3
Pace	23 90.9 8 93.9	MIA 87.0 OKC 110.1 +23.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 16.0 18 15.5	MIA 16.5 OKC 13.1 −3.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.2% 3 52.7%	MIA 52.8% +6.9% OKC 45.9%
TO %	7 14.5% 24 15.5%	MIA 12.5% −2.9% OKC 15.4%
ORB %	27 22.2% 16 26.6%	MIA 30.2% +17.0% OKC 13.2%
FTrt	8 29.7 2 33.8	MIA 25.0 OKC 46.6 +21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 60.0% 28 56.1%	MIA 56.1% +6.1% OKC 50.0%
STL %	4 9.5% 10 8.8%	MIA 10.1% +4.8% OKC 5.3%
BLK %	9 9.1% 1 12.0%	MIA 6.7% OKC 8.5% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.0% 2 56.4%	MIA 56.1% +0.5% OKC 55.6%
Rim FG%	1 65.9% 4 62.2%	MIA 60.7% +0.7% OKC 60.0%
Mid FG%	4 41.9% 5 41.8%	MIA 41.9% +1.9% OKC 40.0%
3P %	2 39.6% 3 37.7%	MIA 37.9% +14.8% OKC 23.1%
FT %	16 75.4% 1 82.8%	MIA 77.3% OKC 97.1% +19.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 34.8% 18 35.7%	MIA 31.8% OKC 34.2% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	10 36.7% 17 39.9%	MIA 35.2% −12.7% OKC 47.9%
3P Att. %	5 28.5% 12 24.4%	MIA 33.0% +15.1% OKC 17.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	MIA	OKC
Possessions	99	95
Possession Minutes	27.3	20.7
Points	110	100
Rebounds	46	35
Assists	23	16
Steals	10	5
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (0)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	30 (6)
Field Goals	41-88	32-73
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	15-25
Midrange FG	13-31	14-35
2-Point FG	30-59	29-60
3-Point FG	11-29	3-13
Free Throws	17-22	33-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg