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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat46%98110
4Thunder54%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
40.0
35.6
39
70%
12
7
2
1
0
4
3
9
7-9
78%
10-16
7-13
63%
55%
4-8
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
38.8
31.5
20
71%
12
2
2
1
3
1
5
7
0-0
-
10-14
6-12
71%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
31.0
34.8
13
45%
5
8
3
1
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
5-13
8-15
38%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
27.8
28.9
6
38%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
26.9
23.3
6
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
30.3
21.8
13
56%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
19.4
8.4
3
30%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
16.8
18.6
9
64%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
6.7
10.1
1
13%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
2.5
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
8.0
0
0-1
44%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
2.7
0
0-0
38%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
47.5
33.3
40
65%
8
4
1
1
3
5
0
8
15-15
100%
11-19
6-11
58%
54%
1-5
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
43.8
29.3
26
53%
5
10
1
1
1
6
0
5
12-13
92%
7-18
6-12
39%
47%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
35.3
29.8
6
50%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
5-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
24.3
26.4
4
50%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
23.6
26.0
8
57%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.0
27.4
17.8
9
67%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.8
22.0
18.4
7
60%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.3
14.9
17.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.9
0.5
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.4
0.5
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.5
0.5
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.0
11.6
0
1-2
56%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
5.3
0
0-1
40%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.