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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors47%100101
19Jazz53%101115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
37.5
33.1
29
65%
5
4
1
1
0
4
2
3
1-1
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
47%
4-9
44%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
34.4
34.3
15
59%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
30.5
31.5
18
69%
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
0-0
-
9-13
6-12
69%
51%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
19.0
26.9
3
26%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
15.1
24.7
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
32.7
21.3
19
70%
2
9
0
1
0
5
0
2
6-6
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.4
18.2
20.5
5
56%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
15.8
6.8
2
100%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
15.2
17.5
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.7
7.8
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
7.7
5.4
5
54%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
3-6
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.6
3.6
8.7
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
2.5
5.5
1
57%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.1
31.6
31.4
24
62%
5
1
0
1
3
2
1
4
2-3
67%
11-18
8-15
61%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.0
30.5
28.9
14
60%
9
1
0
1
0
2
2
7
4-4
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.4
29.3
26.2
15
70%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.7
20.4
20.3
11
56%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.0
18.7
19.9
4
52%
3
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-3
33%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.6
25.2
26.0
13
73%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
2-3
67%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
24.6
7.7
17
73%
3
4
0
0
2
1
0
3
5-6
83%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.7
23.0
19.5
0
0%
0
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.6
21.1
21.7
14
73%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
6-6
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
11.3
14.6
1
10%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-4
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
1.4
23.8
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.3
1.4
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.0
1.4
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.2
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.