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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs76%106108
25Kings24%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
35.1
27.9
30
59%
4
11
3
1
0
7
0
4
10-12
83%
10-19
7-12
53%
54%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
31.4
29.8
21
95%
2
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
5-8
63%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.6
30.5
32.1
15
55%
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
2-6
3-6
33%
56%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.8
28.2
23.7
9
46%
14
2
2
1
4
2
2
12
3-4
75%
3-7
6-11
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.1
20.6
28.4
4
69%
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-2
0%
2-2
5-8
100%
61%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
27.2
24.6
10
96%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
5-5
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
18.9
8.2
12
61%
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
1-4
25%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
17.9
22.6
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
11.5
16.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-2
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
9.4
15.6
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.8
5.2
13.3
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
3.9
3.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.2
2.6
0
0-1
53%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
34.1
31.2
11
49%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
3-3
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
30.8
31.3
20
54%
5
1
3
1
0
0
0
5
7-8
88%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
30.7
29.1
22
81%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
8-8
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
2-4
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
28.3
27.7
6
44%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
27.1
28.7
11
48%
7
4
0
1
2
3
3
4
5-8
63%
3-8
5-12
38%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
23.7
20.5
16
50%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
4-9
44%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
20.9
11.7
10
42%
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
41%
2-5
40%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
20.9
13.4
4
40%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
13.2
18.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
10.4
10.5
2
25%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
11.0
0
2-4
45%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
4.6
0
0-1
40%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.