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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nets42%9797
13Bucks58%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
37.8
37.1
8
27%
6
4
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
0-5
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
33.3
36.7
23
60%
2
8
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
3-7
43%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
27.2
32.5
7
51%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.9
23.5
31.9
9
30%
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0
3-4
75%
3-13
7-15
23%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.8
20.8
20.8
3
40%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
28.8
18.9
17
77%
2
6
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
41%
3-4
75%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
24.5
14.8
12
56%
12
1
1
1
2
0
3
9
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.8
16.9
16.2
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
2-3
67%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
12.3
18.4
3
61%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
7.5
2.6
2
17%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-4
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
7.3
5.7
7
90%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
5.7
0
1-2
43%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.3
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
42.1
40.4
31
80%
2
11
1
2
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
45%
4-6
67%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
40.2
41.1
14
37%
4
5
2
2
0
6
0
4
4-9
44%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
35.7
34.7
12
55%
12
2
0
1
2
1
1
11
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
2-3
67%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
28.8
25.3
12
53%
13
3
0
1
5
1
4
9
2-3
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
28.8
30.7
1
7%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-6
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.4
24.9
21.3
10
52%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
4-6
67%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
13.7
10.6
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
11.7
13.5
5
75%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
1-3
33%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
7.5
14.9
3
85%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
2-5
-
53%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
6.6
6.2
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
4.6
0
0-1
47%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.