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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers36%9387
22Timberwolves64%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
36.2
35.5
17
46%
6
2
2
1
1
4
2
4
5-6
83%
6-16
5-11
38%
44%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
35.0
35.7
16
43%
3
5
5
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
7-16
7-14
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
32.2
35.3
9
42%
8
3
0
1
1
2
2
6
3-4
75%
3-8
5-11
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
31.7
30.4
6
27%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
4-9
44%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
26.2
28.4
8
44%
6
1
1
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
26.0
6.2
13
55%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
5-10
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
19.0
11.9
10
61%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
2-6
33%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
18.6
10.7
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.9
8.7
20.7
5
83%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
6.4
2.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
18.2
1
2-4
47%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
41.2
35.1
27
60%
18
0
1
1
2
2
7
11
9-15
60%
9-16
7-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
36.7
8.0
15
70%
5
5
2
0
3
2
0
5
6-6
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
53%
1-1
100%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
35.6
27.0
17
66%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
30.9
33.3
8
41%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
4-9
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
29.1
33.7
11
59%
6
6
3
2
0
6
1
5
9-12
75%
1-4
3-8
25%
40%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
20.2
18.4
6
38%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
19.2
24.3
2
17%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
18.6
20.8
6
32%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
1-2
50%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
8.4
24.4
2
114%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
9.6
0
1-2
49%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-3
48%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
3.9
0
0-1
53%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.