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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic23%9696
11Mavericks77%105111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
39.8
33.1
21
63%
5
7
0
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
49%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
37.8
37.0
16
67%
13
2
0
1
2
1
3
10
2-2
100%
7-11
7-14
64%
50%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
35.5
30.2
6
30%
2
7
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
1-3
33%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
30.8
28.8
10
37%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-6
33%
4-11
6-11
36%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
28.5
29.0
20
60%
8
0
1
1
1
1
5
3
1-4
25%
8-13
3-6
62%
49%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
26.6
27.5
10
38%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
48%
1-5
20%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
11.6
14.5
5
42%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
11.6
10.2
4
82%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
11.0
5.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
4.0
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
2.9
9.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
37.0
32.3
13
59%
4
4
0
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
33.0
29.5
9
40%
0
9
2
1
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
52%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
30.9
28.2
17
72%
8
2
1
1
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
30.0
30.0
12
41%
9
4
1
1
1
0
0
9
4-4
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
13.3
13.3
6
51%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
25.6
22.1
14
58%
3
8
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
4-9
44%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
25.1
19.1
17
70%
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
4
5-7
71%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
17.0
6.6
12
67%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
2-5
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
13.4
14.7
3
75%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
10.2
15.2
8
67%
8
0
0
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
60%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
1.7
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
1.4
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
1.4
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.