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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat51%9686
8Bulls49%9567
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
36.8
33.6
17
54%
8
5
2
1
2
5
2
6
1-2
50%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
34.5
37.6
26
80%
12
7
2
2
0
4
1
11
3-3
100%
10-11
7-13
91%
55%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
32.1
29.7
12
56%
4
0
3
1
0
3
2
2
2-4
50%
5-8
5-11
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
27.5
23.6
8
40%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
16.4
16.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
29.2
26.8
11
45%
0
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2-3
67%
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
23.2
28.5
3
50%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-3
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
20.1
19.2
8
67%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
13.7
9.0
1
17%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
2.2
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
2.2
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
2.2
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
1.3
0
0-0
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
38.1
36.7
11
46%
8
8
3
1
2
4
4
4
1-2
50%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
32.9
28.2
12
61%
11
3
1
1
0
3
4
7
2-2
100%
5-9
7-13
56%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
32.1
34.6
6
25%
6
2
2
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-12
5-10
25%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.7
28.6
21.9
14
54%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.0
22.6
17.5
7
41%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.4
21.4
23.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
20.6
22.8
6
38%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
19.4
4.4
6
60%
5
0
1
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
15.6
19.8
3
26%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
4.4
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
2.2
4.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
2.2
1.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.1
29.5
1
2-4
45%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.