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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets56%99113
18Wizards44%97119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.3
38.2
35.9
27
53%
4
12
0
2
0
2
0
4
11-12
92%
8-14
5-10
57%
50%
0-6
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
33.8
23.8
8
68%
5
5
2
1
0
4
1
4
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
27.6
31.7
6
51%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
22.7
31.7
6
61%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
18.2
20.5
4
29%
7
0
1
1
2
0
4
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
56%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
27.5
18.9
22
64%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
47%
1-4
25%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
27.4
24.2
19
74%
4
7
3
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.0
24.4
21.9
12
55%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
0-4
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
20.2
17.6
9
59%
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3
3-6
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
55%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
7.4
0
1-2
47%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.6
4.9
0
1-2
46%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.6
3.6
0
0-1
51%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
38.0
30.6
17
66%
12
4
2
1
2
3
3
9
9-11
82%
1-3
4-8
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
35.0
32.7
15
63%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
3-6
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
33.0
30.9
14
51%
1
10
1
1
3
6
1
0
4-4
100%
5-12
5-12
42%
44%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.4
30.2
33.0
14
55%
4
3
1
1
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
53%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
26.7
26.4
17
52%
13
2
0
1
0
0
5
8
1-5
20%
8-14
5-9
57%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
26.7
28.5
16
63%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
2-6
33%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
15.6
15.5
12
67%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
4-6
67%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
14.0
15.1
4
69%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
12.6
7.4
5
51%
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.2
6.5
7.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
1.8
6.2
3
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
11.7
0
1-2
43%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
2.3
0
0-0
51%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.