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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls69%99105
30Bobcats31%9275
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
39.0
36.9
10
63%
8
8
1
1
3
2
3
5
2-2
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
27.8
33.1
14
58%
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
2-3
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
25.7
30.3
10
46%
10
4
0
1
0
0
0
10
4-4
100%
3-9
7-14
33%
51%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.7
24.4
25.2
12
51%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.0
24.1
20.0
10
36%
1
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
23.6
12.7
4
50%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.4
23.1
22.5
12
89%
4
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
4-4
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
20.8
17.6
12
87%
5
5
1
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
20.7
21.9
17
72%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
8-11
3-6
73%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
5.9
3.8
4
42%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
2.5
4.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
2.5
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.1
20.0
1
1-2
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.8
36.1
34.9
27
70%
5
1
1
2
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
44%
4-6
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.5
35.6
25.6
7
72%
12
0
0
0
3
1
6
6
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
27.2
32.8
2
8%
6
3
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-8
4-9
13%
45%
0-4
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
26.6
33.4
9
34%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-5
60%
3-9
5-11
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
25.5
22.4
10
42%
7
0
1
1
0
3
4
3
6-9
67%
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.8
24.2
9.7
8
68%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
4-4
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
23.3
28.9
5
20%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-8
63%
0-8
4-9
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
21.3
12.3
7
60%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
11.2
2.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
9.1
16.2
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
14.0
0
2-4
45%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.0
4.2
0
0-1
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.1
2.5
0
0-0
39%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.