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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets61%102106
17Nets39%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
42.0
37.7
22
68%
5
4
1
2
0
3
0
5
4-5
80%
3-7
5-11
43%
51%
4-7
57%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
39.5
33.7
10
63%
5
4
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
53%
2-4
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
36.4
34.3
22
79%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
6-9
67%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
35.9
36.5
9
38%
2
6
0
2
0
5
0
2
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
30.1
27.1
10
45%
11
1
1
1
0
0
1
10
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
16.0
12.3
10
92%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-1
0%
5-5
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
14.7
7.8
5
50%
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
14.1
17.1
9
90%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
3-4
75%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
11.4
5.9
9
77%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
40.1
35.0
15
42%
2
13
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
48%
3-8
38%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
39.8
22.7
17
54%
4
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
42%
3-7
43%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.9
35.2
27.9
27
62%
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
13-21
7-13
62%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
31.1
29.4
7
31%
5
2
5
1
0
4
2
3
1-3
33%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.8
24.2
20.5
2
33%
13
1
2
1
1
1
5
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.8
24.2
16.1
6
33%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
2-8
25%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
16.9
4.9
12
75%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
12.8
18.6
4
50%
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
10.5
6.4
6
77%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
5.2
15.4
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
4.3
0
1-1
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.3
2.2
0
0-0
41%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.