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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings30%97108
16Hawks70%104122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
39.1
30.3
15
48%
8
6
0
1
0
2
2
6
4-4
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
37.3
29.3
30
68%
6
9
0
1
0
3
2
4
8-9
89%
5-12
4-7
42%
49%
4-6
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
37.1
27.1
26
53%
13
2
3
1
0
4
5
8
3-6
50%
10-21
5-11
48%
45%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
30.0
32.1
9
42%
10
0
0
1
2
2
2
8
3-4
75%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
26.8
27.4
8
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
20.9
21.4
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
17.8
17.8
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
16.7
3.4
9
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
1-2
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
7.6
17.4
3
150%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
6.8
5.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
11.6
0
2-3
49%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
4.9
0
0-1
48%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
35.8
36.3
18
70%
6
4
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
8-11
6-12
73%
51%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
34.0
38.6
24
76%
8
6
0
1
2
0
0
8
2-4
50%
11-14
8-14
79%
57%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
33.9
21.6
17
124%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
5-6
83%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
32.6
31.6
20
52%
4
12
3
1
3
2
0
4
3-3
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
52%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
14.5
22.6
4
33%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
31.6
26.0
10
45%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
18.1
11.0
7
58%
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
13.0
20.3
10
85%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
2-2
100%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
9.5
11.1
6
77%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
8.0
12.6
2
21%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-4
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
4.3
2.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
2.5
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
2.5
3.4
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.