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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves21%94111
2Thunder79%104127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
32.9
29.7
13
47%
5
9
5
2
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-12
3-7
42%
37%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
26.8
30.6
10
54%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
24.0
28.3
15
70%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
22.8
31.8
9
29%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-3
100%
3-12
4-9
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
22.3
37.8
5
43%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
7-14
25%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
25.7
4.4
13
85%
6
0
1
0
4
1
0
6
5-6
83%
4-5
0-1
80%
46%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
25.2
19.3
17
66%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
43%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
24.9
19.6
14
67%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
2-4
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
24.8
20.6
15
76%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
7-9
3-7
78%
46%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
9.4
13.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
1.2
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-3
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
37.1
39.4
27
66%
7
7
0
2
1
4
0
7
8-8
100%
8-16
7-13
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
35.4
38.2
37
71%
7
9
1
2
1
5
0
7
9-9
100%
11-20
8-16
55%
48%
2-2
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
33.6
33.4
7
58%
6
2
2
2
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
27.2
30.3
6
75%
7
0
0
0
3
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
5-9
75%
56%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
24.5
24.7
10
73%
7
1
1
0
1
2
4
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
25.3
29.5
19
77%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.3
16.8
17.4
8
67%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
13.3
16.6
3
50%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.0
9.7
10.4
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.9
8.2
3.4
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
1-2
50%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.4
4.7
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.7
3.0
1.9
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.5
1.2
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.