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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics55%95113
25Suns45%9388
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
38.7
31.2
31
91%
7
4
2
1
5
1
0
7
6-7
86%
8-9
4-8
89%
49%
3-5
60%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
31.9
28.6
6
38%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
29.8
27.8
8
41%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-4
25%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
26.6
31.8
13
50%
4
2
4
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.4
25.6
32.6
8
68%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
24.8
11.9
9
53%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
21.6
8.9
14
78%
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
7-9
1-2
78%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
20.0
23.7
13
90%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.3
17.3
4.0
10
56%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.7
3.7
3.8
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.8
26.9
1
6-11
51%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.0
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
42.9
34.8
19
55%
5
10
2
2
2
5
1
4
4-5
80%
6-9
4-9
67%
51%
1-6
17%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.8
29.9
25.4
7
50%
5
1
1
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
28.6
28.9
7
51%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
19.0
25.1
10
51%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
5-9
4-7
56%
54%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.8
17.3
26.3
6
44%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
25.6
18.5
11
62%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
19.6
11.7
2
14%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
15.3
16.0
6
32%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.4
14.6
20.7
9
53%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
10.9
19.9
3
31%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
9.7
1.5
1
13%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
6.5
20.5
7
90%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.2
5.2
0
1-2
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.8
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.