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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Trail Blazers30%98107
8Lakers70%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
40.3
37.4
19
43%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
8-17
5-10
47%
46%
1-5
20%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
37.6
37.5
22
72%
8
4
3
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
7-9
3-6
78%
50%
2-5
40%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
35.9
23.2
15
69%
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
4-7
57%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
35.0
31.9
22
73%
11
2
0
1
0
3
2
9
0-0
-
11-15
5-10
73%
52%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
34.3
37.1
15
36%
6
3
2
1
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
6-18
8-17
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
19.5
9.7
5
34%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
13.9
19.7
3
80%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
12.8
7.6
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
7.8
10.2
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
3.1
13.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
9.6
0
0-1
41%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
5.3
0
0-1
40%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.0
4.0
0
1-1
46%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
37.8
30.2
19
49%
16
2
1
1
2
2
5
11
5-12
42%
7-14
5-9
50%
60%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.3
35.9
36.8
11
58%
6
2
2
2
1
3
1
5
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
35.9
33.0
40
74%
7
4
2
1
0
5
2
5
9-9
100%
14-20
6-12
70%
50%
1-3
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
33.5
28.5
4
17%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-1
0%
2-10
3-5
20%
56%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
30.1
34.1
11
62%
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
24.4
21.3
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
21.4
19.3
10
79%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
20.9
22.2
16
55%
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
3
5-6
83%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
4.7
0
0-0
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.7
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.6
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.