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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets58%101103
17Wizards42%98105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
42.5
38.9
27
55%
4
6
3
2
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
51%
3-11
27%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
42.4
35.8
24
76%
7
3
0
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
5-9
56%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.5
35.4
34.2
12
43%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
4-12
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
34.7
28.3
5
51%
10
1
1
1
2
5
3
7
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
26.5
35.2
5
28%
1
6
3
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-9
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
23.0
9.0
11
80%
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
21.5
15.6
15
83%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
3-5
60%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
10.1
14.1
1
18%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-4
25%
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
3.9
11.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
2.0
0
0-1
45%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
37.1
34.1
21
60%
5
4
2
1
1
1
4
1
5-6
83%
5-11
4-9
45%
44%
2-4
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
34.5
31.6
12
51%
4
11
0
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
33.8
26.0
17
49%
11
1
2
1
3
3
2
9
1-3
33%
8-16
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.4
30.6
30.6
8
58%
9
3
0
1
0
3
1
8
2-2
100%
3-6
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
30.4
33.1
12
60%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
33.4
26.9
18
75%
4
6
4
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
46%
2-4
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
13.9
14.4
8
82%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
13.4
15.6
5
51%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
10.9
10.8
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
2.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.2
7.6
0
1-3
48%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
7.4
0
1-1
43%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
2.5
0
0-1
53%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.