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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat79%100114
2876ers21%8990
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
32.4
34.4
33
78%
6
2
2
2
0
1
1
5
5-7
71%
14-17
8-15
82%
52%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
31.5
35.4
16
62%
10
11
2
2
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
6-8
7-12
75%
57%
1-4
25%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
26.9
25.2
14
79%
0
6
3
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
24.8
30.3
13
52%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
6-10
6-11
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
19.7
16.4
4
50%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
25.5
27.0
12
67%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
4-6
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
25.1
25.5
6
150%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
2-2
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
21.1
19.4
12
55%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
13.7
10.8
2
53%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
6.8
5.6
2
114%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
5.4
4.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.4
4.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
3.0
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
37.5
34.4
21
82%
6
6
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
6-8
6-14
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
36.1
34.8
16
42%
7
5
1
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
8-16
5-11
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
33.4
30.3
19
68%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
3-7
43%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
32.1
26.2
6
38%
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
25.2
32.1
2
20%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
31.9
16.6
17
65%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
5-10
50%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.9
21.7
11.6
7
72%
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
8.5
16.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
6.8
19.9
2
114%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
6.8
6.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
6.1
0
1-1
51%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.