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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Jazz24%9594
4Clippers76%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.1
28.7
30.8
16
42%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
8-18
7-15
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.0
27.4
29.5
19
71%
2
2
0
1
2
1
0
2
3-3
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.4
22.5
27.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-5
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.7
14.3
20.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.0
14.3
18.8
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
33.7
19.9
23
57%
8
3
1
0
0
1
3
5
13-14
93%
5-12
3-6
42%
45%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.6
31.8
24.9
12
56%
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
3-6
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.7
24.0
21.5
2
17%
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.6
22.1
21.1
7
51%
8
0
1
1
3
3
3
5
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
16.9
12.6
15
90%
4
1
2
0
0
2
3
1
3-3
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
4.3
9.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.3
2.3
0
0-0
52%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.0
1.9
0
0-1
42%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
31.5
29.0
18
65%
7
3
1
1
1
1
3
4
4-4
100%
7-12
7-12
58%
56%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.0
30.6
21.5
21
67%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
2-6
33%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
27.6
26.8
11
50%
7
7
0
2
0
2
0
7
6-7
86%
1-3
3-7
33%
53%
1-5
20%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
26.8
22.2
7
55%
12
0
1
1
0
2
2
10
1-3
33%
3-5
3-5
60%
62%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
17.3
16.9
8
74%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
30.2
29.8
12
64%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
23.5
16.4
18
60%
6
2
1
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
6-12
1-3
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
20.4
22.1
4
33%
3
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.0
17.6
24.6
8
82%
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
12.9
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
0.8
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
0.8
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.4
8.7
0
1-2
48%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.