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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Lakers44%102103
10Mavericks56%10499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
38.3
33.8
38
75%
12
7
0
1
1
5
1
11
8-10
80%
9-16
6-13
56%
49%
4-5
80%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.3
36.8
35.5
1
7%
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-5
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
33.8
30.1
20
78%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
4-5
80%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
32.7
33.2
9
39%
13
1
2
1
1
4
1
12
5-10
50%
2-7
6-10
29%
58%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
29.2
31.4
6
60%
6
2
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
26.7
21.1
13
60%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
26.5
20.1
11
67%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-6
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
16.1
22.5
5
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
3.8
0
0-0
42%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.7
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
38.8
30.6
30
71%
13
1
3
1
0
2
0
13
4-5
80%
7-15
5-11
47%
49%
4-4
100%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
34.6
35.0
8
34%
3
2
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-6
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
28.7
30.1
7
32%
1
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-9
4-7
22%
50%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
25.1
30.8
6
75%
8
2
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-3
5-10
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
3.1
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
28.6
22.3
14
47%
8
2
0
1
0
1
5
3
2-4
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
28.3
26.0
15
54%
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
1-5
20%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
19.3
16.7
6
33%
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
41%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
18.6
13.0
3
75%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
8.3
12.9
4
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
6.6
8.2
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
0.1
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.