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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies53%9376
19Nets47%9272
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
41.1
32.7
16
46%
14
0
0
1
1
4
3
11
2-3
67%
7-16
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
37.4
34.8
10
46%
2
7
3
2
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
37.0
33.1
14
59%
7
5
0
1
4
1
1
6
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
30.3
26.7
11
58%
1
1
3
0
0
3
1
0
0-1
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.1
30.0
29.4
12
68%
6
0
0
2
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
18.3
17.1
6
77%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
14.7
21.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
11.7
11.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
10.6
6.1
5
63%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
5.5
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
2.9
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
0.6
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
1.3
0
0-0
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
41.9
35.9
24
74%
4
4
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
4-6
67%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
28.8
29.1
11
69%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
41%
3-3
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.8
26.7
21.7
2
26%
14
1
2
1
0
2
6
8
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.9
26.1
30.5
9
38%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-10
7-14
30%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
16.5
29.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
31.5
8.2
8
29%
7
3
0
0
1
1
4
3
0-2
0%
4-11
1-3
36%
47%
0-2
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.8
21.9
19.0
3
38%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-4
25%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
21.9
15.7
10
42%
7
1
1
1
1
1
5
2
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
13.7
9.8
5
63%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
7.6
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
3.4
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.3
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.