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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Warriors51%103100
21Timberwolves49%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
40.6
34.0
22
62%
13
3
1
1
1
5
5
8
6-6
100%
8-15
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
33.7
37.2
10
36%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
1-3
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
33.6
37.7
18
52%
5
5
5
2
0
6
1
4
5-5
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
22.1
24.3
7
60%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
12.5
12.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
35.5
33.6
23
58%
5
8
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-12
5-10
25%
48%
5-7
71%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.4
32.8
17.4
19
88%
9
0
1
0
0
3
2
7
3-4
75%
8-9
3-5
89%
51%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
11.0
11.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.7
9.1
5.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
6.7
5.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.7
2.4
3.2
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
40.7
25.5
14
57%
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
0-2
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
38.9
30.7
16
54%
8
11
6
2
0
6
1
7
10-11
91%
3-8
3-8
38%
40%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
37.7
26.4
23
67%
12
0
0
1
1
1
4
8
5-5
100%
9-14
4-8
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
33.4
29.1
21
54%
8
1
2
1
1
3
5
3
1-3
33%
10-18
5-10
56%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
32.4
28.1
14
48%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
50%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
20.6
22.5
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
0-4
4-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
16.2
22.0
4
29%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.2
15.9
22.1
4
29%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
4.3
16.0
1
57%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
11.3
0
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.5
9.0
0
1-3
48%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.6
2.2
0
0-1
53%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.8
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.6
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.