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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards40%9390
13Raptors60%9684
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
39.0
34.4
20
72%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
44%
2-3
67%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
34.4
31.1
12
68%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
31.6
28.5
8
29%
13
2
1
1
0
2
3
10
0-0
-
4-14
5-10
29%
52%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
30.4
29.8
11
49%
9
3
0
1
1
5
1
8
3-3
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
54%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
24.3
32.2
10
39%
5
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
3-11
5-12
27%
45%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
26.3
28.9
8
40%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
25.4
14.0
8
40%
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
53%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
23.7
14.4
12
86%
4
3
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
2-2
100%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
4.1
10.8
0
0%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
0.8
3.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
6.1
0
0-1
43%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.2
5.2
0
1-2
48%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
2.3
0
0-0
51%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
41.8
37.1
7
26%
6
4
4
2
1
5
1
5
5-6
83%
1-9
7-15
11%
46%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
39.3
36.2
25
60%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
7-9
78%
9-16
6-12
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.8
36.8
30.0
6
34%
13
2
1
1
3
2
4
9
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.9
31.7
31.8
18
46%
5
3
2
1
2
2
1
4
3-6
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
3-9
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
17.9
19.8
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
23.9
21.0
4
35%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
21.0
18.1
8
36%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
0-2
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.3
16.3
14.1
9
90%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-4
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.1
6.3
6.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
5.1
14.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
6.7
0
1-1
52%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.7
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.1
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.