Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Hawks	61%	99	114	116.3	98	94.0
	28	Pistons	39%	95	103	106.2	97	101.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	39.6	23	82%	22	3	2	2	5	3	7	15	2-3	67%	9-12	75%	1-1	100%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	36.3	23	57%	7	4	1	1	3	4	1	6	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	1-4	25%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	33.0	20	63%	2	12	2	0	1	2	0	2	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 32	32.4	15	68%	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	5-7	71%
DeShawn Stevenson G · 6'5" 218 · 32	27.2	7	70%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	19.1	2	25%	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	17.4	6	43%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	13.3	11	79%	1	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	12.5	5	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	5.9	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	37	31	10	4	13	0	8	29	20-24	83%	26-46	57%	14-33	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	39.6	23	82%	22	3	2	2	5	3	7	15	2-3	67%	9-12	75%	1-1	100%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	36.3	23	57%	7	4	1	1	3	4	1	6	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	1-4	25%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	33.0	20	63%	2	12	2	0	1	2	0	2	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 32	32.4	15	68%	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	5-7	71%
DeShawn Stevenson G · 6'5" 218 · 32	27.2	7	70%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32	19.1	2	25%	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	17.4	6	43%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	13.3	11	79%	1	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	12.5	5	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	5.9	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Lou Williams # 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	61%	37	31	10	4	13	0	8	29	20-24	83%	26-46	57%	14-33	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 27	35.9	22	61%	5	2	1	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	10-17	59%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	32.9	7	32%	5	9	0	0	4	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Greg Monroe C · 6'11" 265 · 23	31.4	15	58%	8	5	2	1	2	0	3	5	5-8	63%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Kyle Singler F · 6'8" 228 · 25	29.4	13	54%	4	1	1	0	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 30	17.1	7	44%	6	0	1	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 26	23.8	21	88%	6	3	1	0	1	2	3	3	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-3	33%
Khris Middleton F · 6'7" 222 · 22	23.0	4	33%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Kim English G · 6'6" 200 · 24	22.8	10	71%	1	2	1	0	2	0	0	1	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Viacheslav Kravtsov C · 6'11" 254 · 26	16.6	2	50%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 29	7.0	2	25%	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 30	\| NWT - NBA SUSPENSION
Brandon Knight G · 6'2" 182 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Drummond # 1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	41	25	8	1	17	0	10	31	18-22	82%	38-70	54%	3-14	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DET
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.21 60.6%

DET

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

13

16

81%

DET

30

44

68%

Midrange

ATL

13

30

43%

DET

8

26

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

14

21.0

33

42%

64%

DET

3

4.5

14

21%

32%

Free Throws

ATL

20

24

83%

DET

18

22

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	23	82%	11.5 / 14
J. Smith	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Teague	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Korver	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Harris	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Stevenson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Jenkins	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Tolliver	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4
I. Johnson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Jerebko	21	88%	10.5 / 12
G. Monroe	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Singler	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. English	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Calderon	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Maxiell	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Middleton	4	33%	2.0 / 6
V. Kravtsov	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Villanueva	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.6 22 103.8	ATL 116.3 +10.1 DET 106.2
Pace	12 92.9 22 90.9	ATL 94.0 DET 101.3 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 12 15.8	ATL 15.3 DET 14.2 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.7% 19 48.7%	ATL 59.5% +8.9% DET 50.6%
TO %	16 15.2% 28 15.9%	ATL 13.5% −1.9% DET 15.4%
ORB %	26 22.2% 9 28.3%	ATL 20.5% DET 25.6% +5.1%
FTrt	25 24.4 11 28.2	ATL 30.4 +4.2 DET 26.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 65.1% 21 58.5%	ATL 77.5% +16.5% DET 61.0%
STL %	12 8.7% 25 7.6%	ATL 10.2% +2.0% DET 8.2%
BLK %	23 7.1% 14 8.0%	ATL 5.7% +3.5% DET 2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.2% 19 50.7%	ATL 60.6% +5.8% DET 54.8%
Rim FG%	3 62.5% 23 55.8%	ATL 81.3% +13.1% DET 68.2%
Mid FG%	21 38.3% 29 36.1%	ATL 43.3% +12.5% DET 30.8%
3P %	7 37.1% 18 35.6%	ATL 42.4% +21.0% DET 21.4%
FT %	26 71.5% 29 69.9%	ATL 83.3% +1.5% DET 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.9% 2 45.1%	ATL 20.3% DET 52.4% +32.1%
Mid Att. %	9 36.5% 5 33.2%	ATL 38.0% DET 31.0% −7.0%
3P Att. %	4 28.6% 23 21.7%	ATL 41.8% +25.1% DET 16.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	ATL	DET
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	114	103
Rebounds	37	41
Assists	31	25
Steals	10	8
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	31 (0)
Field Goals	40-79	41-84
At-the-Rim FG	13-16	30-44
Midrange FG	13-30	8-26
2-Point FG	26-46	38-70
3-Point FG	14-33	3-14
Free Throws	20-24	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg