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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks61%99114
28Pistons39%95103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
39.6
35.4
23
80%
22
3
2
1
2
5
7
15
2-3
67%
9-12
7-14
75%
55%
1-1
100%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
36.3
36.5
23
59%
7
4
1
1
1
3
1
6
4-6
67%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
1-4
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
33.0
33.2
20
64%
2
12
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
32.4
29.7
15
68%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
5-7
71%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
27.2
17.6
7
72%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
19.1
3.7
2
25%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
17.4
14.0
6
44%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-4
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.0
13.3
25.0
11
75%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
12.5
13.4
5
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.9
5.9
7.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.1
1.7
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
1.7
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.7
3.5
0
1-1
45%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.9
35.9
28.4
22
62%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
10-17
3-7
59%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
32.9
28.4
7
32%
5
9
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
31.4
28.6
15
60%
8
5
2
1
1
2
3
5
5-8
63%
5-9
6-11
56%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.8
29.4
22.5
13
55%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
17.1
20.9
7
44%
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.0
23.8
9.9
21
82%
6
3
1
0
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
8-9
1-2
89%
49%
1-3
33%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.5
23.0
16.6
4
33%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.4
22.8
11.2
10
65%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-0
-
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.5
16.6
18.0
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.5
7.0
20.9
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.1
19.6
1
4-7
48%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.2
13.7
0
2-4
45%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.3
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.