FinalWin Prob.pScore
2514%94
129
186%109
141
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
119.410899.6
MIA logo MIA
127.011183.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
OT2 - 0:00.0MIA129
0%
141
100%
OT2 - 0:06.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)129
0%
141
100%
OT2 - 0:08.0SACMISS Evans Driving Layup129
0.1%
141
99.9%
OT2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)129
0.1%
141
99.9%
OT2 - 0:17.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)129
0.1%
141
99.9%
OT2 - 0:18.0SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot129
0.1%
141
99.9%
OT2 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)129
0.1%
141
99.9%
OT2 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)129
0.1%
140
99.9%
OT2 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)129
0.1%
139
99.9%
OT2 - 0:47.0SACMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot129
0.1%
139
99.9%
OT2 - 1:01MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (39 PTS) (James 16 AST)129
0.1%
139
99.9%
OT2 - 1:23SACEvans 1' Layup (26 PTS)129
0.4%
137
99.6%
OT2 - 1:29MIABosh Dunk (15 PTS) (James 15 AST)127
0.3%
137
99.7%
OT2 - 1:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)127
0.7%
135
99.3%
OT2 - 1:53SACMISS Thornton 1' Layup127
0.8%
135
99.2%
OT2 - 2:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)127
1.2%
135
98.8%
OT2 - 2:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)127
1.4%
134
98.6%
OT2 - 2:07SACWade STEAL (3 STL)127
1.8%
133
98.2%
OT2 - 2:23MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)127
3.3%
133
96.7%
OT2 - 2:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)127
4.5%
131
95.5%
OT2 - 2:46SACMISS Thornton 22' Jump Shot127
5.5%
131
94.5%
OT2 - 3:14MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)127
8.9%
131
91.1%
OT2 - 3:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)127
17.4%
128
82.6%
OT2 - 3:21SACWade BLOCK (2 BLK)127
20.1%
128
79.9%
OT2 - 3:24MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)127
27.7%
128
72.3%
OT2 - 3:50SACThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Thomas 9 AST)127
18.1%
128
81.9%
OT2 - 4:12MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (37 PTS) (James 14 AST)124
9.6%
128
90.4%
OT2 - 4:17SACChalmers STEAL (1 STL)124
13.0%
126
87.0%
OT2 - 4:35MIAJames 2' Layup (31 PTS)124
18.5%
126
81.5%
OT2 - 4:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)124
24.4%
124
75.6%
OT2 - 4:37MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot124
30.3%
124
69.7%
OT2 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Cousins: Tip to Chalmers124
24.4%
124
75.6%
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James Layup124
52.8%
124
47.2%
OT1 - 0:06.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)124
27.1%
124
72.9%
OT1 - 0:08.0SACBosh BLOCK (4 BLK)124
30.6%
124
69.4%
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)124
45.5%
124
54.5%
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2124
49.7%
123
50.3%
OT1 - 0:43.0MIAHEAT Rebound124
39.5%
123
60.5%
OT1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot124
54.0%
123
46.0%
OT1 - 1:07SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)124
37.8%
123
62.2%
OT1 - 1:20MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS)121
16.6%
123
83.4%
OT1 - 1:41SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Thomas 8 AST)121
24.8%
121
75.2%
OT1 - 2:04MIABosh Dunk (13 PTS) (James 13 AST)118
12.7%
121
87.3%
OT1 - 2:20SACEvans 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)118
17.1%
119
82.9%
OT1 - 2:42MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 12 AST)116
13.2%
119
86.8%
OT1 - 2:57SACEvans Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)116
17.4%
117
82.6%
OT1 - 2:59SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)116
27.1%
117
72.9%
OT1 - 3:00MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot116
23.8%
117
76.2%
OT1 - 3:18SACEvans 4' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS)116
17.4%
117
82.6%
OT1 - 3:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)114
13.4%
117
86.6%
OT1 - 3:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)114
14.2%
116
85.8%
OT1 - 3:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)114
18.1%
115
81.9%
OT1 - 3:47SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 1114
18.9%
115
81.1%
OT1 - 3:48SACCousins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)112
13.6%
115
86.4%
OT1 - 3:49SACMISS Salmons 20' Step Back Jump Shot112
10.5%
115
89.5%
OT1 - 4:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)112
13.5%
115
86.5%
OT1 - 4:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)112
24.4%
112
75.6%
OT1 - 4:07SACMISS Cousins 1' Driving Dunk112
26.9%
112
73.1%
OT1 - 4:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)112
33.2%
112
66.8%
OT1 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound112
24.4%
112
75.6%
OT1 - 4:47MIAMISS James 5' Hook Shot112
30.3%
112
69.7%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Cousins: Tip to James112
24.4%
112
75.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0SACCousins 1' Layup (22 PTS)112
22.3%
112
77.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)110
11.3%
112
88.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0SACMISS Thomas 4' Driving Layup110
4.7%
112
95.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)110
13.3%
112
86.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2110
11.4%
112
88.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2110
6.4%
112
93.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Thomas 7 AST)110
4.7%
112
95.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)107
1.2%
112
98.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot107
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 1:06SACThornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Cousins 5 AST)107
1.4%
112
98.6%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)104
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 1:26SACMISS Evans 6' Driving Jump Shot104
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAJames 8' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)104
1.0%
112
99.0%
Q4 - 2:04SACThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)104
1.8%
110
98.2%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (33 PTS)101
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 2:36SACCousins 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Salmons 7 AST)101
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 11 AST)99
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 3:14SACEvans 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)99
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)97
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 3:43SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 297
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 3:43SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS)96
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 4:09SACBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)96
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade 1' Layup (29 PTS) (James 10 AST)96
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 4:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 4:52SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 196
4.7%
101
95.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)94
4.1%
101
95.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
7.5%
98
92.5%
Q4 - 5:17SACMISS Patterson 21' Jump Shot94
8.3%
98
91.7%
Q4 - 5:35MIAAllen 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)94
10.4%
98
89.6%
Q4 - 5:56SACCousins 1' Layup (17 PTS)94
13.7%
96
86.3%
Q4 - 6:05SACKings Rebound92
10.9%
96
89.1%
Q4 - 6:06SACMISS Thornton 3PT Jump Shot92
8.9%
96
91.1%
Q4 - 6:20SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)92
10.9%
96
89.1%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 6:31SACThornton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)92
8.1%
96
91.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAAndersen Dunk (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)92
10.9%
96
89.1%
Q4 - 7:10MIAHEAT Rebound92
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
16.5%
94
83.5%
Q4 - 7:27SACCole STEAL (3 STL)92
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)92
17.8%
94
82.2%
Q4 - 8:03SACCousins Foul Turnover (P3.T14)92
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 8:18SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
26.4%
92
73.6%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
24.9%
92
75.1%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 8:26SACMISS Evans 5' Driving Jump Shot92
23.1%
92
76.9%
Q4 - 8:52MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)92
26.5%
92
73.5%
Q4 - 9:11SACCousins 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)92
30.7%
90
69.3%
Q4 - 9:28MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)90
25.8%
90
74.2%
Q4 - 9:33SACEvans 1' Layup (18 PTS)90
36.1%
87
63.9%
Q4 - 9:35SACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 9:39SACLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)88
27.3%
87
72.7%
Q4 - 9:49SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 9:50SACMISS Evans 1' Layup88
27.3%
87
72.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 9 AST)88
29.4%
87
70.6%
Q4 - 10:37MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
39.6%
84
60.4%
Q4 - 10:38SACMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot88
41.3%
84
58.7%
Q4 - 11:01SACKings Rebound88
43.5%
84
56.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot88
41.9%
84
58.1%
Q4 - 11:19SACThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)88
38.4%
84
61.6%
Q4 - 11:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)85
28.8%
84
71.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA85
24.7%
84
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound85
24.7%
84
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 36' 3PT Jump Shot85
27.5%
84
72.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0SACCole STEAL (2 STL)85
24.1%
84
75.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)85
27.9%
84
72.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0SACSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Thomas 6 AST)85
32.5%
82
67.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)82
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cousins 4 AST)82
28.2%
80
71.8%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJames 1' Layup (18 PTS)79
20.0%
80
80.0%
Q3 - 1:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
23.4%
78
76.6%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup79
25.9%
78
74.1%
Q3 - 1:20MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
23.4%
78
76.6%
Q3 - 1:21SACMISS Cousins 1' Driving Layup79
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q3 - 1:33SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
27.1%
78
72.9%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
25.9%
78
74.1%
Q3 - 1:57SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
23.5%
78
76.5%
Q3 - 1:57SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 278
22.6%
78
77.4%
Q3 - 2:21MIAAllen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (James 8 AST)78
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 2:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
25.8%
76
74.2%
Q3 - 2:28SACMISS Cousins 1' Driving Layup78
26.9%
76
73.1%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
29.7%
76
70.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
30.8%
75
69.2%
Q3 - 2:46MIAHEAT Rebound78
33.6%
74
66.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Lewis 7' Floating Jump Shot78
36.6%
74
63.4%
Q3 - 3:17SACEvans 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)78
31.8%
74
68.2%
Q3 - 3:20SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
28.2%
74
71.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
27.1%
74
72.9%
Q3 - 3:31SACThompson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Salmons 6 AST)76
24.7%
74
75.3%
Q3 - 3:40SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
21.6%
74
78.4%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q3 - 4:00SACCousins Layup (12 PTS)74
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q3 - 4:01SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)72
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 4:02SACMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 4:03SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 4:05SACWade BLOCK (1 BLK)72
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 4:31MIAJames 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)72
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 4:43SACEvans 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)72
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 4:47MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)70
16.1%
72
83.9%
Q3 - 5:02SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
13.4%
72
86.6%
Q3 - 5:02SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (25 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)68
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 5:20SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 5:20SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 5:22MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)66
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHEAT Rebound66
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot66
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 5:44SACThompson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)66
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q3 - 5:53SACKings Rebound64
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 5:54SACMISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot64
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 6:10MIAWade 3' Layup (23 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)64
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 6:29SACSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)64
10.0%
68
90.0%
Q3 - 6:58MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)61
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 7:10SACBosh STEAL (3 STL)61
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 7:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 261
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 7:35SACEvans 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)59
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 8:01SACBosh STEAL (2 STL)59
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (21 PTS)59
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup59
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 8:24SACMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot59
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)59
15.0%
61
85.0%
Q3 - 8:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q3 - 8:50SACMISS Thompson 2' Tip Shot59
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 8:51SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
21.7%
58
78.3%
Q3 - 8:51SACMISS Evans 1' Layup59
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 8:52SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
21.7%
58
78.3%
Q3 - 8:53SACMISS Cousins 8' Turnaround Jump Shot59
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)59
21.1%
58
78.9%
Q3 - 9:28SACThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
23.5%
56
76.5%
Q3 - 9:28SACThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
22.7%
56
77.3%
Q3 - 9:42MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 6 AST)57
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q3 - 9:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 9:56SACBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)57
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q3 - 10:05SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
27.7%
53
72.3%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot57
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q3 - 10:21SACEvans 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)57
24.9%
53
75.1%
Q3 - 10:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 10:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q3 - 10:41SACJames STEAL (2 STL)55
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q3 - 10:52SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
27.9%
51
72.1%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot55
27.0%
51
73.0%
Q3 - 11:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 4' Hook Shot55
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q3 - 11:24SACSalmons 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 11:34SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Jump Shot53
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q3 - 11:41SACWade STEAL (2 STL)53
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0SACMISS Thompson 2' Layup53
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Hook Shot53
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0SACThomas 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)53
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
16.9%
51
83.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0SACHayes 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)51
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)49
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 1:22SACSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)49
17.4%
48
82.6%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)46
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 2:01SACSalmons 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)46
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 2:38SACHaslem STEAL (1 STL)44
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)44
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot44
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 3:13MIAHEAT Rebound44
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup44
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 3:28SACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)44
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 3:28SACMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 243
19.4%
41
80.6%
Q2 - 3:30SACHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
20.0%
41
80.0%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup43
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 3:48SACMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
18.5%
41
81.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAHEAT Rebound43
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 243
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 4:19SACThornton 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)43
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 4:28SACHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 4:46SACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 4:46SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)40
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 4:46SACThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 4:47SACMISS Thompson 15' Jump Shot39
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 4:58SACBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot39
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 5:13SACHayes 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)39
12.8%
40
87.2%
Q2 - 5:36MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 5:36MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 5:46SACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 5:46SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 6:04SACHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot35
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 6:21SACBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 6:26SACHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot35
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot35
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 6:56SACThornton 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)35
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 6:57SACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 6:58SACMISS Brooks 16' Jump Shot33
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWade 6' Driving Bank Shot (17 PTS)33
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 7:46SACMISS Brooks 3PT Jump Shot33
10.7%
36
89.3%
Q2 - 8:04MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)33
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 8:11SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 8:17SACPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot33
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 8:35SACOutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 8:35SACOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 8:43MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)31
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 8:46SACCole STEAL (1 STL)31
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 9:27SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)31
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)28
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 10:08SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 10:08SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 10:14SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot26
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 10:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q2 - 10:26SACMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot26
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q2 - 10:35SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Andersen Alley Oop Dunk26
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 10:55SACSalmons 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q2 - 11:00MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q2 - 11:15SACCousins 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)24
8.6%
29
91.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)22
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 11:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q2 - 11:38SACAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC22
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKings Rebound22
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Cousins 41' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
9.4%
27
90.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0SACThornton 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)22
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
7.9%
27
92.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)20
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 1:02MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 1:10SACMISS Cousins 20' Jump Shot17
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 1:32MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)17
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q1 - 1:40SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 1:59MIACole Layup (2 PTS)17
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 2:05SACJames STEAL (1 STL)17
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 2:15MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 2:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 2:32SACMISS Thornton Free Throw 2 of 217
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 2:32SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 2:34MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 2:48MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 2:49SACMISS Thompson 2' Tip Shot16
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 2:50SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 2:52SACMISS Thompson 3' Driving Jump Shot16
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 3:05SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 3:07SACJames BLOCK (1 BLK)16
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIAJames 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 3:29SACSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
12.8%
16
87.2%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)16
14.0%
16
86.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot16
15.9%
14
84.1%
Q1 - 4:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 4:11SACBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)16
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 4:35MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 4:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup16
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 5:00SACWade STEAL (1 STL)16
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 5:19SACBosh STEAL (1 STL)16
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 5:35MIAJames 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIAHEAT Rebound16
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot16
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 6:02SACEvans 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)16
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 6:15SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 6:31SACCousins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)14
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIABosh 13' Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 7:02SACCousins 1' Layup (6 PTS)14
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 7:03SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 7:04SACMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot12
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 7:22SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 7:24SACMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 212
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 7:24SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 7:45SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 8:15SACThomas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)11
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
15.3%
6
84.7%
Q1 - 8:54SACCousins 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)9
14.3%
6
85.7%
Q1 - 9:07MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:31SACThomas 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)7
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)5
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:06SACMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot5
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:18SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup5
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:42SACCousins Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:47SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 11:16SACEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)3
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Thompson: Tip to James0
11.4%
0
88.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.22 60.8%
MIA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
27
48
56%
MIA
29
41
71%
Midrange
SAC
7
18
39%
MIA
17
37
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
14
21.0
27
52%
78%
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
SAC
19
26
73%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton3682%18.0 / 22
T. Evans2662%13.0 / 21
D. Cousins2460%12.0 / 20
J. Salmons1568%7.5 / 11
I. Thomas1458%7.0 / 12
J. Thompson836%4.0 / 11
C. Hayes4100%2.0 / 2
T. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
P. Patterson0-0.0 / 1
A. Brooks0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4074%20.0 / 27
D. Wade3967%19.5 / 29
R. Allen2175%10.5 / 14
C. Bosh1547%7.5 / 16
C. Andersen1083%5.0 / 6
M. Chalmers638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem563%2.5 / 4
R. Lewis330%1.5 / 5
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
89
+17
-19
106
MIA
99
+20
-12
119
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.22 60.8%
MIA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
112.1
SAC 119.4
MIA 127.0 +7.6
Pace
93.3
90.9
SAC 99.6 +16.2
MIA 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
SAC 14.5 +2.8
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
55.2%
SAC 59.1%
MIA 60.4% +1.3%
TO %
14.9%
14.5%
SAC 15.4%
MIA 10.4% +5.0%
ORB %
26.7%
22.2%
SAC 29.8% +6.3%
MIA 23.5%
FTrt
27.1
29.7
SAC 28.0 +4.2
MIA 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
60.0%
SAC 68.8% +6.3%
MIA 62.5%
STL %
8.7%
9.5%
SAC 11.1%
MIA 11.7% +0.6%
BLK %
6.7%
9.1%
SAC 6.4%
MIA 13.6% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
57.0%
SAC 60.8% +1.1%
MIA 59.7%
Rim FG%
56.8%
65.9%
SAC 56.3%
MIA 70.7% +14.4%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.9%
SAC 38.9%
MIA 45.9% +7.0%
3P %
36.3%
39.6%
SAC 51.9% +8.4%
MIA 43.5%
FT %
76.9%
75.4%
SAC 73.1%
MIA 79.2% +6.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
34.8%
SAC 51.6% +11.0%
MIA 40.6%
Mid Att. %
35.7%
36.7%
SAC 19.4% +17.3%
MIA 36.6%
3P Att. %
24.3%
28.5%
SAC 29.0% +6.3%
MIA 22.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions108111
Possession Minutes26.032.0
Points129141
Rebounds4041
Assists3335
Steals1213
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)8 (12)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)33 (0)
Field Goals48-9356-101
At-the-Rim FG27-4829-41
Midrange FG7-1817-37
2-Point FG34-6646-78
3-Point FG14-2710-23
Free Throws19-2619-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 210 · 33
50.0
15
68%
5
7
1
2
4
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
49.0
24
60%
15
5
2
0
4
5
6
9
4-7
57%
10-16
63%
0-1
0%
G · 5'9" 185 · 24
48.3
14
58%
2
9
1
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
42.9
26
62%
4
4
5
0
2
5
3
1
3-4
75%
10-15
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
26.3
8
36%
6
2
1
0
4
1
3
3
2-3
67%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26
40.0
36
82%
2
3
1
1
1
3
2
0
6-8
75%
3-6
50%
8-12
67%
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 161 · 28
9.7
0
0%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30
8.9
4
100%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 207 · 28
4.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
G · 6'2" 195 · 27
#45 · C · 6'11" 253 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
290
129
61%
40
33
12
5
19
0
14
26
19-26
73%
34-66
52%
14-27
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.