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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
February 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Cavaliers
101
8Bulls
98
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.2
36.4
27.7
25
67%
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-6
67%
9-12
4-10
75%
43%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.5
33.0
16.8
15
61%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
3-3
100%
6-11
2-3
55%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.7
31.2
30.7
11
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
28.2
20.0
4
33%
8
2
0
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.0
26.6
27.4
10
49%
8
3
2
1
0
2
5
3
4-5
80%
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
26.6
18.4
13
57%
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.9
23.7
16.9
8
67%
5
5
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
42%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
17.4
19.2
8
58%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.9
16.9
19.6
7
51%
2
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.9
32.4
1
6-12
47%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.0
4.2
0
0-0
36%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.5
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
41.1
34.8
9
57%
9
5
1
1
4
4
3
6
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
39.7
30.3
26
67%
7
5
2
1
0
0
3
4
6-8
75%
7-12
4-9
58%
49%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
39.0
26.0
27
65%
5
4
0
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
13-20
6-11
65%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
33.5
12.5
11
61%
6
11
1
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.0
17.6
19.4
6
50%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
26.5
20.6
6
69%
3
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3-3
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
22.0
20.2
8
40%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.7
14.5
26.3
5
42%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
6.1
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
20.1
0
3-6
52%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
16.9
1
2-4
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
5.3
0
0-0
46%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
5.0
0
0-1
41%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.