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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks40%10195
10Mavericks60%10590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
44.3
40.3
22
57%
3
9
6
2
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
6-12
6-13
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
32.0
34.5
8
34%
3
6
0
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
44%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
29.0
31.1
10
46%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
28.0
21.9
7
56%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.3
25.7
29.9
13
47%
13
0
1
1
1
2
5
8
3-4
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.4
29.4
21.3
13
66%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.7
22.8
30.7
14
72%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
16.4
2.7
8
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
0-1
44%
45%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
8.9
7.4
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.2
3.5
10.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.9
5.5
0
1-1
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.4
1.6
0
0-0
53%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
37.5
34.0
18
57%
3
4
1
1
0
5
2
1
4-4
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
0-3
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
37.3
28.9
12
37%
7
8
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-3
67%
5-13
3-7
38%
50%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
35.3
33.8
21
59%
20
3
2
1
0
3
3
17
4-4
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
30.3
27.7
10
51%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
11.5
8.8
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
25.8
26.4
2
11%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
25.3
24.7
12
68%
14
1
1
1
3
2
7
7
0-2
0%
6-8
4-9
75%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
11.5
15.5
1
17%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
11.0
17.2
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
11.0
7.7
10
85%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
59%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
3.7
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
10.8
0
2-5
49%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.