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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings47%101125
29Magic53%102101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
26.4
33.9
17
67%
3
7
4
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
7-11
6-11
64%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
23.9
36.0
13
51%
6
4
0
2
1
0
1
5
5-6
83%
4-10
7-14
40%
47%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.2
22.2
34.8
21
102%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
4-5
80%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
22.0
25.7
8
51%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.1
13.8
35.1
2
50%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
4-9
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.0
27.4
7.2
13
72%
1
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
3-4
75%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
25.8
7.6
13
67%
7
0
0
0
1
2
3
4
3-4
75%
5-7
1-2
71%
50%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
24.3
11.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
22.8
27.7
20
62%
8
2
0
1
0
2
0
8
6-7
86%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
2-8
25%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
19.6
7.4
10
46%
3
2
3
0
1
3
2
1
0-2
0%
5-9
1-2
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.0
11.8
3.9
8
90%
2
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
6.5
0
1-1
49%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
6.1
0
1-2
42%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
34.1
34.0
15
46%
7
6
1
1
0
6
0
7
3-3
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
0-2
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
27.9
32.3
12
76%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
53%
1-2
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
23.1
28.1
11
69%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
21.8
32.1
4
29%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
6-11
29%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
17.1
22.4
8
58%
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
32.5
22.6
14
58%
2
8
2
1
0
4
1
1
7-7
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
52%
1-2
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
30.9
21.5
23
81%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
4-5
80%
8-10
3-6
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
14.0
9.1
6
75%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
13.3
6.7
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.7
13.2
15.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
12.2
9.1
3
19%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-4
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.1
13.0
0
1-3
48%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.