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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks33%9384
9Grizzlies67%9990
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
40.2
34.8
11
40%
2
2
0
1
1
5
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
4-8
38%
45%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.7
33.1
33.9
10
42%
4
2
0
1
3
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
5-12
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
29.4
28.5
16
67%
8
0
1
1
1
4
3
5
0-0
-
8-11
4-8
73%
48%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
26.5
32.0
8
52%
5
6
2
1
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
0-3
4-8
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
21.9
7.4
6
60%
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.1
27.3
25.7
6
34%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
25.8
24.5
12
68%
6
0
1
1
2
3
1
5
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.7
21.4
14.2
6
28%
0
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
38%
0-3
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
14.1
13.8
9
83%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
0.3
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
0.2
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
10.1
0
1-2
46%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
38.4
35.5
22
54%
10
4
3
1
0
3
2
8
8-10
80%
7-15
7-14
47%
50%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
38.4
34.2
21
56%
12
5
1
1
0
4
6
6
9-11
82%
6-14
6-11
43%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
36.6
35.3
5
19%
4
6
3
2
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
48%
0-4
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.0
26.2
27.6
4
25%
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.1
25.2
29.1
9
47%
3
1
2
2
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
26.3
17.5
12
104%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
15.8
8.2
10
63%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
14.2
12.1
4
40%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
13.8
18.4
3
50%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
5.0
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.9
4.8
0
1-1
48%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.8
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.0
1.2
0
0-0
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.