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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hornets20%9374
4Thunder80%104119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.6
39.0
20.0
9
51%
1
4
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
38%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
31.3
24.0
7
30%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
3-4
75%
2-10
4-8
20%
51%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
24.5
34.5
6
23%
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-12
4-10
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
24.0
27.6
14
59%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
23.1
29.9
7
47%
7
0
1
1
1
2
2
5
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
23.6
2.5
9
52%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
23.5
10.1
2
14%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-4
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
21.7
5.2
8
103%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
15.6
2.7
5
42%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
13.8
14.6
7
54%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-3
33%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
26.8
1
4-9
46%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.0
23.9
1
4-9
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
17.4
0
3-7
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
26.9
34.4
18
85%
11
10
0
1
0
1
0
11
6-6
100%
3-5
7-12
60%
56%
2-3
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
25.9
33.5
29
65%
3
3
0
2
0
0
1
2
12-12
100%
7-14
7-14
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
24.8
28.1
8
69%
4
0
2
1
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
23.1
29.0
18
82%
7
1
0
0
3
1
4
3
0-0
-
9-11
4-8
82%
57%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
22.9
24.4
0
0%
4
3
0
0
4
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
22.1
15.6
14
70%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
51%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
20.6
11.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-4
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
17.9
23.1
14
89%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
2-2
100%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.4
14.5
7.5
9
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.3
14.4
16.0
0
0%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.9
12.0
2.2
5
63%
4
1
2
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.9
8.6
6.2
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.0
6.5
10.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
59%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.