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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Suns11%89105
1Spurs89%106101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
40.4
36.3
13
45%
4
13
1
1
0
5
1
3
3-3
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
37.6
27.1
7
25%
15
1
1
1
0
1
7
8
1-4
25%
3-11
4-9
27%
51%
0-1
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.8
20.9
27.7
7
44%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-6
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.8
19.7
20.1
15
72%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
19.7
27.3
6
60%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.4
27.3
18.6
22
66%
13
1
0
0
2
3
4
9
6-6
100%
8-14
3-6
57%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
23.9
19.2
8
44%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
41%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
23.5
10.0
11
62%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
1-3
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
21.2
23.1
8
51%
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-2
0%
4-7
3-7
57%
41%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
18.1
11.4
6
40%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
12.6
11.0
2
33%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.2
4.8
0
1-2
44%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
4.6
0
0-1
38%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
42.0
32.0
15
54%
1
4
3
2
0
1
0
1
6-9
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.8
39.1
21.8
22
49%
4
8
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-6
67%
9-20
5-10
45%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.8
35.4
26.5
19
51%
11
0
1
1
1
3
0
11
7-8
88%
6-14
6-11
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.2
31.8
24.4
4
41%
8
3
1
1
0
1
6
2
2-2
100%
1-4
4-6
25%
61%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
26.6
26.9
8
67%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.6
29.6
21.3
10
47%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
0-2
3-5
0%
54%
2-6
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.9
21.1
5.5
15
76%
6
1
0
0
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
7-9
1-2
78%
54%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
17.8
20.5
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
7.8
13.3
3
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
7.3
13.6
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.7
6.6
17.4
3
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.9
14.5
0
1-2
53%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.2
3.9
0
0-1
53%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.