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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets58%105111
23Trail Blazers42%102109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
42.7
31.3
29
59%
7
8
5
1
1
5
1
6
5-10
50%
9-13
3-6
69%
50%
2-7
29%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.3
37.4
37.7
30
58%
2
6
2
1
1
2
0
2
6-9
67%
12-20
6-11
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
27.8
25.0
7
35%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
26.5
28.2
10
42%
8
4
4
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
23.4
17.8
11
70%
8
0
0
0
1
0
5
3
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
57%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.0
27.4
24.8
8
68%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
21.7
26.0
5
64%
4
10
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
17.3
20.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.6
15.8
4.9
7
46%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-6
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
5.0
0
1-1
49%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.6
3.8
0
0-1
52%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
2.5
0
0-0
48%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
40.9
32.7
22
45%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-1
0%
11-24
8-15
46%
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
40.3
37.4
10
56%
6
9
5
1
3
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
37.2
37.1
26
74%
3
4
1
1
0
5
1
2
6-8
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
32.3
33.4
16
58%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
4-11
36%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.5
31.6
30.3
18
69%
14
2
1
1
0
3
6
8
8-9
89%
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.5
23.1
17.6
4
33%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.0
16.2
13.4
13
71%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
5-5
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
14.2
9.8
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
3.9
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
0.1
4.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
5.3
0
0-1
45%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.1
3.8
0
1-1
48%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
3.0
0
0-0
41%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.