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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers49%9499
6Pacers51%9591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.0
36.3
30.1
18
74%
14
2
0
1
0
1
2
12
4-5
80%
7-10
6-12
70%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
34.8
28.7
29
70%
6
8
1
2
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
10-15
3-7
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.0
22.1
25.5
2
11%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-6
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
20.9
20.6
3
25%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-6
17%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
9.6
23.8
4
67%
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
28.4
19.9
6
31%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
27.0
16.2
23
65%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
8-14
2-4
57%
44%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.0
25.9
26.7
2
33%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
21.7
10.0
5
64%
3
1
2
0
2
3
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
13.2
12.4
7
88%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.4
13.8
0
1-3
45%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
7.3
0
1-1
53%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
6.5
0
1-1
46%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
42.5
36.7
20
53%
4
5
2
2
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
4-11
36%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
38.6
30.4
22
55%
6
4
1
1
1
4
4
2
11-14
79%
4-13
6-13
31%
49%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.8
37.9
32.0
12
44%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
2-7
29%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.5
29.2
26.3
16
90%
7
4
1
1
0
4
0
7
1-2
50%
6-7
3-5
86%
49%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.3
24.9
19.2
5
73%
5
1
1
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.9
19.0
20.8
12
55%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.3
17.4
15.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.8
14.9
6.0
2
33%
7
0
1
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.3
10.6
12.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-2
0%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.0
5.0
10.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.2
24.6
0
4-8
46%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
6.7
0
0-1
44%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.5
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.