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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2876ers28%8782
13Bulls72%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
41.3
38.0
22
54%
3
3
3
1
1
4
1
2
1-3
33%
9-15
6-14
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
38.9
32.6
12
37%
8
4
2
1
0
3
0
8
0-1
0%
6-15
5-11
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
38.7
31.7
9
30%
9
1
0
1
2
2
3
6
1-4
25%
4-13
6-11
31%
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
36.7
24.8
20
48%
15
1
0
0
2
0
5
10
6-6
100%
7-17
3-7
41%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
26.5
20.3
5
36%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
24.6
17.9
7
66%
4
1
0
1
2
2
0
4
1-3
33%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-4
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
13.8
22.2
2
25%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 27.0
12.8
21.6
1
13%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
40%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
6.7
5.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
17.5
1
2-4
41%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.2
9.3
0
0-1
40%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.0
2.7
0
0-0
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
2.2
0
0-1
42%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.0
45.0
36.7
23
72%
21
1
3
1
11
3
8
13
7-9
78%
8-12
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
41.8
33.6
12
39%
8
4
0
1
2
1
3
5
2-3
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
39.9
21.3
15
44%
3
6
0
1
2
0
0
3
4-5
80%
4-10
1-3
40%
46%
1-5
20%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.3
34.5
30.6
21
57%
12
1
0
1
0
2
2
10
11-12
92%
5-13
7-13
38%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
27.1
20.5
6
30%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-3
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.5
21.4
22.8
5
43%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.7
20.1
21.3
9
38%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-8
3-5
13%
48%
2-3
67%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
7.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
3.0
6.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.0
18.4
0
3-7
47%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
13.6
0
2-4
51%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.0
11.1
0
1-3
47%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.3
3.4
0
0-0
45%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.