Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Grizzlies	29%	90	91	103.4	88	86.3
	2	Heat	71%	97	98	110.1	89	90.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 32	37.0	14	39%	9	1	1	0	3	4	4	5	2-4	50%	6-16	38%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 28	36.0	24	71%	9	4	0	1	2	4	2	7	8-8	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 33	35.1	4	33%	1	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 25	34.1	14	54%	4	8	2	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 31	27.5	9	45%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 25	20.8	10	100%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 25	16.7	4	50%	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 25	12.1	4	33%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 25	10.4	5	36%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	10.3	3	38%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tony Wroten G · 6'6" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	51%	38	23	4	3	12	0	10	28	21-27	78%	29-64	45%	4-13	31%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 32	37.0	14	39%	9	1	1	0	3	4	4	5	2-4	50%	6-16	38%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 28	36.0	24	71%	9	4	0	1	2	4	2	7	8-8	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 33	35.1	4	33%	1	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 25	34.1	14	54%	4	8	2	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 31	27.5	9	45%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 25	20.8	10	100%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 25	16.7	4	50%	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 25	12.1	4	33%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 25	10.4	5	36%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	10.3	3	38%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tony Wroten G · 6'6" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	51%	38	23	4	3	12	0	10	28	21-27	78%	29-64	45%	4-13	31%

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2 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	42.1	18	45%	8	10	2	1	1	1	1	7	8-12	67%	2-10	20%	2-4	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	35.7	22	58%	4	8	2	1	2	2	2	2	4-6	67%	9-15	60%	0-1	0%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	32.5	13	54%	6	1	0	0	3	2	0	6	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	18.4	9	75%	0	2	1	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	16.0	4	40%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	28.6	10	56%	6	1	0	0	0	4	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	26.3	14	117%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	20.3	4	40%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	15.5	4	67%	4	0	0	1	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado #24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	35	26	7	3	7	0	5	30	20-27	74%	24-54	44%	10-19	53%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.01 50.6%

MIA

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

11

22

50%

MIA

13

19

68%

Midrange

MEM

18

42

43%

MIA

11

35

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

4

6.0

13

31%

46%

MIA

10

15.0

19

53%

79%

Free Throws

MEM

21

27

78%

MIA

20

27

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gasol	24	71%	12.0 / 17
Z. Randolph	14	39%	7.0 / 18
M. Conley	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Q. Pondexter	10	100%	5.0 / 5
T. Allen	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Daye	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Prince	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Bayless	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Arthur	4	33%	2.0 / 6
E. Davis	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	22	58%	11.0 / 19
L. James	18	45%	9.0 / 20
S. Battier	14	117%	7.0 / 6
C. Bosh	13	54%	6.5 / 12
R. Allen	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Chalmers	9	75%	4.5 / 6
U. Haslem	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Cole	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Andersen	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 105.0 1 112.1	MEM 103.4 MIA 110.1 +6.7
Pace	29 88.5 23 90.9	MEM 86.3 MIA 90.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.7 10 16.0	MEM 16.7 MIA 15.9 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 47.2% 1 55.2%	MEM 45.5% MIA 53.4% +7.9%
TO %	10 14.8% 7 14.5%	MEM 11.9% MIA 9.6% −2.3%
ORB %	3 31.0% 27 22.2%	MEM 25.0% +9.8% MIA 15.2%
FTrt	17 26.1 8 29.7	MEM 35.1 MIA 37.0 +1.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 57.9% 13 60.0%	MEM 69.7% MIA 76.5% +6.8%
STL %	3 9.6% 4 9.5%	MEM 4.5% MIA 7.9% +3.4%
BLK %	10 9.0% 9 9.1%	MEM 5.6% +0.9% MIA 4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 49.8% 1 57.0%	MEM 50.6% MIA 53.8% +3.2%
Rim FG%	28 53.9% 1 65.9%	MEM 50.0% MIA 68.4% +18.4%
Mid FG%	12 40.0% 4 41.9%	MEM 42.9% +11.5% MIA 31.4%
3P %	24 34.5% 2 39.6%	MEM 30.8% MIA 52.6% +21.8%
FT %	9 77.3% 16 75.4%	MEM 77.8% +3.7% MIA 74.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 38.0% 21 34.8%	MEM 28.6% +2.5% MIA 26.0%
Mid Att. %	28 45.4% 10 36.7%	MEM 54.5% MIA 47.9% −6.6%
3P Att. %	30 16.6% 5 28.5%	MEM 16.9% MIA 26.0% +9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	MEM	MIA
Possessions	88	89
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	91	98
Rebounds	38	35
Assists	23	26
Steals	4	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	30 (3)
Field Goals	33-77	34-73
At-the-Rim FG	11-22	13-19
Midrange FG	18-42	11-35
2-Point FG	29-64	24-54
3-Point FG	4-13	10-19
Free Throws	21-27	20-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg